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Premier League Tips: 3rd & 4th February
by the Cheeky Punter
I struggled with my midweek football betting tips and it’s the first time in ages I’ve been wide of the mark with some selections. Having said that there were quite a few surprise results and I think many got caught out.
I am hoping that was a small blip and that I can return to form this weekend with this selection of tips from Saturday and Sunday’s Premier League action.
There’s seven games on Saturday and this is where the bulk of my tips will take place, with just two matches on Sunday (but the big game of the weekend as Tottenham travel to face Liverpool) and the round of matches is finished off on Monday night with Chelsea facing a tricky trip to Watford.
Football Tips: Saturday 3rd February
February 3, 2018
February 3, 2018
Burnley arrested a four-game losing streak with a 1-1 draw at Newcastle in midweek but they have now gone nine games in all competitions since their last win.
Man City defeated West Brom 3-0 in midweek to move 15 points clear at the top of the table. They defeated Burnley just a few weeks ago in the FA Cup 3rd Round 4-1.
City will be without Leroy Sane who picked up an ankle ligament injury in the 3-0 win over Cardiff last weekend. Aymeric Laporte should start his 2nd game for City.
Aaron Lennon could make his full debut for Burnley after impressing after coming on as a substitute away to Newcastle during the week.
Burnley's season has taken a turn for the worst in recent times and the last thing they need after earning a draw at Newcastle, is a visit of the runaway league leaders Manchester City. City on the other hand, will be keen to rack up another three points in their dominant season so far.
The teams met in the FA Cup just a few weeks ago and despite leading 1-0, Burnley eventually went down to a 4-1 defeat. Sean Dyche will be under no illusions as to the size of the task facing his team in this Saturday afternoon kick off.
City's away form has been superb this season with their only dropped points being a draw at Crystal Palace and that narrow defeat a few weeks back at Liverpool. Burnley are strong defensively at home too, but they have also struggled to find the net at home too.
Taking all things into consideration, I think a Manchester City win is the obvious call here, but I am backing City and their new centre-half Aymeric Laporte to keep a relatively toothless Burnley attack quiet and to win this game without conceding a goal.
Brighton couldn't hang on at Southampton in the week and picked up a point, which leaves them 15th in the table on 24 points from 25 games.
West Ham also picked up a point from their home game with Palace meaning the Hammers are now 12th in the table with 27 points from 25 games.
Brighton could have Leandro Ulloa in line for a second debut with the club. He left the team back in 2014 after a successful first spell at the club.
West Ham could hand a debut to their new signing Jordan Hugill from Preston North End, but it is more likely that the striker will start on the bench.
These two teams have probably typified the battle at the bottom of the Premier League moreso than any others. Their form has been inconsistent, winning some games but unable to follow that up with consecutive victories to move them away from the danger zone and into the relative comfort of mid table.
The problem now for both sides is that while they both site outside the drop zone, just a couple of bad results can see them drop right down the table and back into the relegation dogfight and that is something that both managers will want to avoid.
I think David Moyes has done a good job since taking over from Slaven Bilic, but the Hammers lack of signings on a frantic deadline day won't have helped his cause a great deal. That said, I think Moyes has done well enough with the squad he has to push this team on to mid table.
The problem he has is that Brighton are a decent side at home and few teams have really put them to the sword. As such, with both teams likely to be desperate to get something from this game, I think that a draw is the most likely outcome.
Arsenal went down to a shock 3-1 defeat at Swansea in the week, leaving them eight points behind Chelsea in fourth place in the table.
The Gunners did however sign Aubameyang in a £60m deal from Dortmund and he could be in line to start against the Toffees on Sunday.
Theo Walcott made a fine start to life at Goodison Park with a double strike against Leicester, firing Everton to a 2-1 victory in midweek. They are now 9th in the table.
Everton have a shocking record away to Arsenal with their last victory on the road against the Gunners coming back in January 1996.
The Gunners come into this game in a somewhat unusual position. Fans will be buoyed by their £60m capture of Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang in midweek, but they also lost 3-1 at Swansea to leave themselves a distant eight points off fourth place in the table.
I think Wenger has to make a statement here and I think Aubameyang has to go straight into the team for this game with Everton. With Mkhitaryan also likely to feature in what will be a new look Gunners, although the news that Mesut Ozil is set to sign a new contract will boost fans hopes of a strong end to the season.
They face an Everton side that won for the first time in six games against Leicester in midweek with new signing, and ex-Arsenal star, Theo Walcott grabbing both the goals. Will Walcott come back to the Emirates to haunt his ex-club. Against that leaky Arsenal defence, I think he stands a good chance of getting a goal.
That said, Everton's record away to Arsenal is so bad and their recent form so poor, that I think even a Walcott goal may not be enough as I am backing Arsenal to win by a 2-1 or 3-1 scoreline.
Arsenal To Win & Both Teams To Score - £10 returns £29.50
After successive defeats to Swansea and West Brom, Liverpool bounced back to form with a 3-0 win away to Huddersfield in midweek. They now lie 3rd in the table.
Tottenham's 2-0 victory over Man United saw them close the gap on Chelsea in fourth to just 2 points. A win here would also put Spurs above Liverpool in the table.
Lucas Moura could be in line to make his debut for Tottenham, though if selected, he is most likely to start from the bench at Anfield.
Virgil Van Dijk may return for the game against Tottenham after being on the bench for the midweek game with Huddersfield Town.
The biggest match of the weekend pits third against fifth in what is a pivotal game in the race for Champions League football next season. A Liverpool win moves them five points clear of Spurs. A Spurs win, and they will jump one point above Liverpool. It's a classic six-pointer for both teams.
Liverpool's performances against Swansea and West Brom were awful and harked back to their desperately poor showings last January. However they bounced back well against Huddersfield in midweek and the Reds always seem to play their best against the better teams, especially at Anfield.
Spurs are a very solid side and they will know that a win is probably needed here, but that I feel plays into Liverpool's hands. If Kane can be tamed by Van Dijk (who will likely return to the team here), then I think the Reds have just enough going forward to claim a win, but I expect it to be a nervy game.
I think both sides will score, possibly more than one goal, but I am backing home advantage to be the edge for Liverpool to grab another vital win here.
Liverpool To Win & Both Teams To Score - £10 returns £35.00
The Cheeky Punter is an ex professional online sports bettor and trader with over 15 years of experience in the industry. He has worked for a number of top bookmakers including Ladbrokes, William Hill and Coral. He's also written for a number of leading news outlets including the Guardian, i (newspaper) and Soccer Lens. More about him here.