Premier League Tips – 3rd to 5th January

Author: Published: January 2, 2023

Premier League TipsNo luck with my first set of tips over the festive period, with Spurs unable to score a winner against Brentford and Fred’s late goal denying me a winner in the Man Utd v Forest game, I am now hoping that my second set of tips from the 30th December to the 1st January comes in for me.

Still, after such a long break for the World Cup, it was always going to be a tough week to make a profit, especially with some of the longer odds selections I picked and in truth, didn’t miss out on by too much.

So with that second set of tips for the festive and new year period already done, I am now moving on to the third set of games in this busy period, which is the games on Matchday 19 taking place from the 2nd January 2023 to the 5th January 2023 inclusive.

The action kicks off on Monday night with Brentford hosting Liverpool, who could give a debut to their new signing Cody Gakpo in that game, but there is a huge match on Tuesday night as Arsenal host Newcastle United in a match between two of the top three teams in the division.

Wednesday’s highlights include a Midlands derby as Aston Villa take on Wolves, and a London derby as Crystal Palace face Tottenham.

But the biggest game of the week comes at Stamford Bridge on Thursday 5th January as Graham Potter’s Chelsea take on Manchester City, for whom striker Erling Haaland moved on to 20 Premier League goals in just 14 games in their 3-1 win over Leeds last night.

Let’s now take a look at my first set of tips all of which will be contested in 2023!

Football Betting Tips: Tuesday 3rd January

Arsenal VS Newcastle United
03/01/2023 7:45 pm GMT

Key Stats

EPL Positions – ARS – 1st – P15, 40pts (+24); NEW – 3rd – P16, 33pts (+21)
Form (last 5 all comps) – ARS – W4, D1, L0; NEW – W5, D0, L0
History – Played – 189, Arsenal Wins – 83, Newcastle Wins – 68, Draws - 38
Trend – Arsenal have won 18 of the last 20 between the two, Newcastle winning the other 2.

Analysis

There hasn’t been a draw in this game between the two in the last 20 games and Arsenal have won a staggering 18 of those matches, Newcastle winning just two and with the Gunners flying in the Premier League at the moment, you’d think a home win was the smart pick to make here.

However, I am not so sure. The team with the best current record in the Premier League over the last six games, is not Arsenal, but Newcastle, who have won all those matches to move deservedly into third in the table just tucked in behind Arsenal and Manchester City.

Eddie Howe’s team have lost just one game all season, to Liverpool, as have Arsenal (who lost to Manchester United) and they are proving incredibly difficult to beat and to score against as these two teams have amongst the best defences in the Premier League.

Newcastle have proven to me that they can score against anybody and are afraid of nobody and I think they’ll show that here, coming back from going a goal down to clinch a rare point against Arsenal in a result which will probably benefit Manchester City more so than either of the two teams playing here.

Prediction

Correct Score – 1-1 Draw - £10 returns £80.00
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Football Betting Tips: Wednesday 4th January

Leeds United VS West Ham
04/01/2023 7:45 pm GMT

Key Stats

EPL Positions – LEE – 15th – P15, 15pts (-6); WHU – 16th – P16, 14pts (-7)
Form (last 5 all comps) – LEE – W2, D0, L3; WHU – W1, D0, L4
History – Played – 109, Leeds Wins – 49, West Ham Wins – 31, Draws - 29
Trend – Leeds have won just one of the last seven between the two (losing 4 of last 5).

Analysis

West Ham seem to have the better of Leeds in recent meetings between the two, winning four of the last five, although Leeds sole win in that run did come in the most recent contest between the two, a 3-2 win at the London Stadium towards the end of last season.

If that result was a shock given how well West Ham had done last year, this year it would be less of a surprise as both teams have struggled near the bottom of the Premier League table and as such, this is a game that both managers will have earmarked as one that they really need to pick up three points from.

Whether either team can do that I am not sure. I feel both can score goals, but also at the moment both defences look very liable to concede one or two too. I also feel with this game coming on the back of a very tricky spell of games, both teams may not be fully 100% fit, or have to rest players, for this one.

As such, although draws are not generally the outcome of these games, I do feel that this is likely to be how things end here. I fancy Leeds to score, but West Ham to come back in the second half and secure a point in a 1-1 draw.

Prediction

Draw and Both Teams to Score - £10 returns £45.00
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Aston Villa VS Wolverhampton Wanderers
04/01/2023 8:00 pm GMT

Key Stats

EPL Positions – AVL – 12th, P16, 18pts (-8); WOL – 18th, P16, 13pts (-15)
Form (last 5 all comps) – AVL – W3, D0, L2; WOL – W1, D1, L3
History – Played – 132, A.Villa Wins – 56, Wolves Wins – 43, Draws - 33
Trend – Aston Villa have not beat Wolves at home in the EPL since Dec 2003.

Analysis

It’s a statistical oddity that Villa have not beaten Wolves at Villa Park since Dec 2003. They have beaten them in cup competitions and the Championship in that time, but have only drawn or lost any Premier League encounters with their local rivals.

That will be a real bonus to Wolves who come into this game on the back of a good win away to Everton on their first game back and who knows, by the time this game comes around, the Black and Gold could well be out of the relegation zone if they can pick up some more points in their next game ahead of this one.

They may need to as I think under Unai Emery, this Villa team is already starting to look a more moulded unit than they did earlier on in the season. They may have lost to Liverpool in their opening game since the World Cup, but I don’t think they will be too long in picking up their first win of this second part of the season.

If they don’t get it in their next game then I think they have a great chance of doing so here. I am expecting a passionate Midlands derby with goals at both ends but Villa to emerge as the winners, most likely by a 2-1 scoreline.

Prediction

Aston Villa to win and both teams to score - £10 returns £44.00
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Football Betting Tips: Thursday 5th January

Chelsea VS Man City
05/01/2023 8:00 pm GMT

Key Stats

EPL Positions – CHE – 8th, P15, 24pts (+2); MNC – 2nd – P15, 35pts (+28)
Form (last 5 all comps) – CHE – W1, D1, L3; MNC – W4, D0, L1
History – Played – 172, Chelsea Wins – 71, Man City Wins – 62, Draws - 39
Trend – Both teams have scored in just 4 of the last 15 games between the two.

Analysis

Looking at the history of this game as well as the current form of both these teams, I am not sure hat backing both of them to score in this fixture is a wise move here. Additionally, City are the team in much the better form of late and I am not convinced Chelsea are anywhere near competing with City at the present moment.

The reason for that is simple, Chelsea don’t have a De Bruyne or a Haaland in their team. The Londoners will also be without Reece James and while I can see them keeping things tight early on in the game, perhaps going in level at the interval, I see City taking the game by the scruff of the neck in the second half and securing the win.

While both teams have big squads, City have an embarrassment of riches at their disposal and it is that depth of squad that makes them so dangerous, whoever they play, as anyone can come into the team to give a first teamer a rest, and still make a positive impact for them.

I feel this game will be a 0-0 or 1-1 at half time but I see City going on to secure a comfortable win here probably by a 3-1 scoreline or similar. As such, I am backing the HT/FT – Draw/Man City market here as this offers pretty generous odds.

Prediction

HT/FT – Draw/Manchester City - £10 returns £48.00
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*Tips are exactly that tips (predictions) and do not guarantee success.

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