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Premier League Tips: Sunday 13th May
by the Cheeky Punter
Two of my football tips last weekend duly obliged which meant another small profit across the games and ensures that we head into the final weekend of the Premier League season with some momentum.
This season has been somewhat streakier than I would have liked. I have fond recollections of those bumper weeks when all four of my tips come in, but I have also had a couple of weeks when I haven’t hit one or hit just a couple over a sustained period and my aim is to cut down on those for the future, perhaps by picking some shorter odds options than in the past.
It’s a difficult one to judge though as if you opt for shorter, safer picks then the returns are not as great and then that impacts profitability, so striking the balance between the two is always a more sensible approach and I’ll be adopting that tactic throughout the summer when we have the World Cup Finals coming up in Russia.
Anyway here are my football betting tips for Sunday 13th May – the final day of the Premier League season…
Football Betting Tips: Sunday 13th May
May 13, 2018
May 13, 2018
Burnley come into this game without a win in their last four games but were on a five game winning streak prior to that.
Bournemouth ended a run of three defeats with a 1-0 win at home to Swansea City last weekend which kept them up.
Burnley have qualified for the Europa League next season, the first time that Burnley will be in Europe since the early 1960’s.
The teams met back at the end of November in Bournemouth and Burnley came away with a 2-1 win thanks to goals from Chris Wood and Robbie Brady.
Both these sides have hit a bit of a sticky patch on terms of form but both will be satisfied with how their season has panned out, especially Burnley who have earned themselves a shot at European football next season in the Europa League.
Bournemouth ended a run of three losing games at home to Swansea last week but Eddie Howe’s team have been dogged by inconsistency all season long and they are going to have to improve next season to avoid being dragged into the relegation battle once again. Burnley away too is never an easy place to try and string back to back wins together.
Burnley will want to finish the season on a high in front of their home fans while Bournemouth will have a sense of relief that they don’t need a result on the day to avoid the drop. As such, I think it will be the home side that are slightly the hungrier and while I don’t expect their to be a glut of goals in this one, I do think Burnley will just about edge this.
Both teams come into this game amongst the form teams in the Premier League having won three and drawn two of their last five games each.
West Brom were confirmed as relegated despite that run when Southampton defeated Swansea at the Liberty Stadium on Tuesday night.
Crystal Palace, who were pointless after seven games of the season are now in 11th place on 41 points and they have won both of their last two home games.
The teams met in the Premier League back in December and shared the points after a dour goalless draw at the Hawthorns.
It’s strange to think that along with Manchester City, the form teams in the Premier League at the moment are Everton, Crystal Palace and West Brom. The Baggies though come into this game having been relegated in midweek due to Southampton defeating Swansea and that will surely impinge on their morale ahead of the game.
Palace have won both their last two home games after failing to win their previous four, albeit they played a number of top six sides in those games and I think Roy Hodgson will know that building on their recent good form and finishing the season strongly would help his team next season and his chances of staying at Palace for the longer term.
I’ve been very impressed with Darren Moore in the caretaker role at West Brom and he’ll have his team ready to battle here but I just think Palace are oozing confidence right now and with Wilf Zaha, they have a real difference maker in these relatively close games. I’m backing Palace to take a close win here.
Chelsea come into this game knowing they need to win and for Liverpool to lose to Brighton if they are to jump ahead of the Reds and finish 4th in the table.
Newcastle currently occupy 10th place in the Premier League on 41 points in what has been a superb first season back in the top flight for Rafa Benitez’ side.
Newcastle have beaten Arsenal and Manchester United at home this season from the top six, while also earning a point against Liverpool.
Chelsea emerged 3-1 victors when the teams met at Stamford Bridge in December, Eden Hazard with two and Alvaro Morata cancelling out Dwight Gayle’s early opener.
It’s a relatively straightforward situation for Chelsea now. Their draw with Huddersfield in midweek while not utterly calamitous means that they now need to defeat Newcastle at St James Park on Sunday and hope that Brighton earn a win at Anfield.
The reason for that is Liverpool’s goal difference is so superior to Chelsea that if Liverpool draw and Chelsea win and the teams end up on the same number of points, the Reds goal difference would be enough to see them through. Unless Chelsea win by a ridiculous scoreline that just isn’t going to happen.
I have no doubt at all that Rafa Benitez will not mind one iota if his Newcastle team throws a spanner in the works for Chelsea and helps his former team out on Sunday. Newcastle have a very solid home record too against top six sides and this is by no means a forgone conclusion that Chelsea will win, in fact, I fancy the home side to capitalise on Chelsea’s plight to snatch a draw here that will be welcomed as much at Anfield as it is on Tyneside.
West Ham secured their Premier League safety with a 2-0 win at Leicester last weekend to move up to 15th on 38 points.
Everton have been safe for some time, Sam Allardyce guiding his team from the relegation battle up to 8th place with 49 points.
Both managers have served long spells at their opposing clubs with David Moyes at Everton and Sam Allardyce at West Ham.
Everton thumped West Ham 4-0 at Goodison Park when the teams met in November. Wayne Rooney grabbing a hattrick and Ashley Williams scoring.
The last time these two teams met, Wayne Rooney grabbed a hat-trick including a stunning strike from the half-way line as Everton ran out 4-0 winners and you can bet that David Moyes will be itching to get one over his old team in the same way that Sam Allardyce did at Goodison Park back in November.
The Toffees away form has improved markedly of late with a couple of wins on the road at Stoke and Huddersfield offering them some hope of a win here, but they still are not creating as many chances as their fans would like, even with the signing of Theo Walcott and Cenk Tosun in January to try and bolster their attack.
The Hammers have had a stop/start season with good performances punctuated with too many poor displays and a very leaky back line that has been their downfall many times this season. However on their day they can play some good football and with their Premier League status secure, I fancy the Hammers to just about get the job done here, possibly by a 2-1 scoreline.
The Cheeky Punter is an ex professional online sports bettor and trader with over 15 years of experience in the industry. He has worked for a number of top bookmakers including Ladbrokes, William Hill and Coral. He's also written for a number of leading news outlets including the Guardian, i (newspaper) and Soccer Lens. More about him here.