Home > Tips > Weeked Football Tips: 25th & 26th November
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Weeked Football Tips: 25th & 26th November
by the Cheeky Punter
We come into this weekends Premier League football tips on the back of an overall profit midweek in the Champions League and Europa League… lets keep that rolling!
This weekend’s games are spread across three days from Friday to Sunday with the big match taking place Saturday tea-time between Liverpool and Chelsea at Anfield.
There’s a couple of good value options on Sunday too, so I’ve split my selections across both days for the weekend this week.
Here’s my tips for the weekend.
Weekend Betting Tips: Saturday 25th November
November 25, 2017
November 25, 2017
Swansea have lost their last four games, a run which has seen them sink down to 19th place in the league table overall.
Swansea should have Tammy Abraham fit for as he has recovered from a back problem suffered in the game vs Burnley.
Bournemouth come into the game with four wins in their last five and they now lie in a comfortable 13th place in the league table with 13 points.
The Cherries will be boosted by Callum Wilson’s return from injury. The striker netted a hat-trick in last week’s 4-0 thumping of Huddersfield Town.
The contrast in form between these two teams could not be sharper. Bournemouth have really found their feet in the last few weeks, winning four of five and they were superb in last week’s 4-0 hammering of Huddersfield.
In contrast, Swansea are still shot-shy with the fewest attempts on goal this season in the Premier League, only seven goals scored and with four defeats on the bounce heaping the pressure on home manager Paul Clement ahead of a game which the Swans will feel they must get something from.
However, even with Tammy Abraham likely to be fit, I can’t see how they are going to achieve this. Bournemouth looked very well organised against Huddersfield and are confident and with Callum Wilson banging in the goals, they look well-equipped to continue their good run of form here.
In truth, I think Bournemouth are a comfortably better side than Swansea City, who I think will go down as the bottom team in the Premier League this year. So, I’m backing the Cherries to get a comfortable win here.
Liverpool have a fantastic home record over their last 32 games, losing just two and they have also won their last three Premier League games scoring 10 goals.
Chelsea are two placed above Liverpool in third in the table and have three more points, scoring one less goal (23) but conceding ten less than the reds (10).
Both teams had away trips in Europe before the game, Liverpool heading to Seville while Chelsea faced a long trip to Azerbaijan and have 24 hours less to prepare for the game.
Adam Lallana is close to a first team return for Liverpool and could be on the bench for this crucial game. Joel Matip could return in defence after missing midweek with a thigh injury.
It’s the sublime to the ridiculous for Liverpool fans this season. They defeated Arsenal 4-0 in one of the best displays of the season, but have since lost 5-1 to Man City and 4-1 to Spurs. They humiliated Sevilla in their own back yard for 45 minutes, going in 3-0 up, but then contrived to throw away two points as Sevilla came back from 3-0 down to claim a 3-3 draw in the Champions League.
That fragility in defence will be music to Chelsea boss Antonio Conte’s ears, especially with the likes of Eden Hazard and Alvaro Morata looking to be just about primed to hit top form. That long trip to Azerbaijan though will take it out of Chelsea’s players, especially as they have further to travel and 24 hours less to recover for this game.
That said, I just cannot trust Liverpool at the moment and in truth, this game could be any scoreline from 5-0 to Liverpool to 5-0 to Chelsea or anything in between, however my gut instinct tells me Chelsea have the players to cause that weak home defence real problems and I’m backing Eden Hazard to be the man who is the difference maker between the teams and inspires a Chelsea win.
Southampton lie 14th, on 13 points, with just 9 goals scored and 14 conceded. They have won just one of their last seven.
Everton lie 16th with 12 points from 12 games, but are unbeaten in two having gone four games defeated prior to that.
Only West Ham (with 25) have conceded more goals than Everton, while only Swansea and Crystal Palace have scored fewer goals than Southampton.
Everton have not won in 14 away Premier Lague games stretching back to last season.
This is a game in which something has to improve. Either Everton will keep Saints sorry goals scored record low and improve their defensive record, or the Saints will improve their goalscoring record at the expense of Everton’s lacklustre defence.
In truth, this is a game between two sides very low on confidence, though Everton’s two games without a defeat will have given them a little morale-boost. However, Southampton at St Mary’s are tough opponents and Everton’s defence has been way too open at times this season.
This is a tricky game to call. It could be 0-0 and perhaps that is where the smart money is going, but something tells me that although I can see the merits in a draw, Southampton need to pick up points and I think a leaky Everton defence will be the perfect opportunity for them to get a couple of goals to bolster their confidence, though I do fancy Everton to grab one at the other end too.
Southampton To Win & Both Teams To Score - £10 returns £45.00
Arsenal are 6th in the Premier League with Burnley just one place below them both having picked up 22 points from their 22 games.
Arsenal have lost twice the number of games this season as Burnley (4 compared with 2) but the Gunners have also won one more.
Burnley’s record is built on a solid defence that has conceded just 9 goals in 12 games, the third-best record in the Premier League tied with Tottenham.
Arsenal’s away record is very poor with just one Premier League wins this season on the road (A 5-2 win v Everton in October).
I don’t know whether the criticism of Mesut Ozil and Alexis Sanchez for their conduct at Arsenal this season stung them into action, but the Gunners looked like world-beaters in their victory over Tottenham last weekend, with both those players playing a prominent role in that superb win and performance.
However, it is these games that tends to see them go into their shell, particularly Ozil, so it will be interesting to see what Arsenal turn up here. As if they are anything shy of their best, then Burnley will fancy their chances given their superb start to the season.
What Sean Dyche has done at Turf Moor on the budget he has, is incredible and he is already a candidate for manager of the year in my view. However, at times his team can come unstuck against intelligent teams that can open up tight defences and I think Arsenal do fall into that category. As such, I am backing the Gunners to take the win here, but I am not expecting this to be an easy game for them. I am backing the Gunners to win this either 1-0 or at best, 2-0.
The Cheeky Punter is an ex professional online sports bettor and trader with over 15 years of experience in the industry. He has worked for a number of top bookmakers including Ladbrokes, William Hill and Coral. He's also written for a number of leading news outlets including the Guardian, i (newspaper) and Soccer Lens. More about him here.