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Weekend Football Tips: 13th & 14th April
by David Lenton
After the first leg of the Europa League and Champions League quarter-finals in midweek, we now have a full schedule of games in the Premier League starting on Friday night with Leicester City taking on Newcastle United, stretching through to the Monday night game on Sky Sports as FA Cup Finalists Watford take on Arsenal in a must-win game for the Gunners.
There’s a total of six games on Saturday as well as the two big games on Sunday that will influence the top of the Premier League table with Crystal Palace taking on Manchester City, while Liverpool will host Chelsea at Anfield.
Here’s my take on the weekends action:
Football Tips: Saturday 13th April
April 13, 2019
April 13, 2019
Brighton are 16th in the table with 33 points from 31 games. They have one or two games in hand on the teams around them but have lost their last three.
Bournemouth are 13th in the table with 38 points from 33 games and one more win should make them sure of avoiding the drop into the Championship.
The teams have met many times previously but only three times in the Premier League, Bournemouth winning two and drawing one of those three games.
The most recent game was an FA Cup meeting in the 3rd Round in January when Brighton were the 3-1 winners.
Brighton’s recent record against Bournemouth isn’t great and that FA Cup win back in January is their only win against Bournemouth since both teams have been in the top flight. Both teams also have similar form heading into this game, although it is worth noting that Brighton do have two games in hand over the Cherries.
However, the seagulls need to convert those games in hand into points and that hasn’t been easy of late with a run of tough games. However, Chris Hughton knows that these are the games his team needs to win to pull away from the dreaded drop zone and with Cardiff away at Burnley on the same day, this is a perfect opportunity to ease those relegation concerns.
Bournemouth do blow hot and cold though and while they have been cold of late, they remain a side that are tough to beat and who are always capable of grabbing a goal. With Brighton’s defence not the most solid in recent times, I can see the Cherries scoring here.
The problem for them is that I also feel Brighton will find the scoresheet and that this game will end in a 1-1 draw which come the end of the game, both managers may well settle for depending on the result of the Burnley v Cardiff clash.
Both teams have won two and lost two of their last four. Wolves last defeat was their FA Cup Semi-final vs Watford.
Southampton’s home record is generally good of late but they were beaten 3-1 by Liverpool last time out in the league.
The teams met at Molineux earlier in the season in September and Wolves emerged with the points after a 2-0 victory thanks to goals from Cavaleiro and Jonny.
Southampton hold a slight advantage in the head to head with 26 wins to Wolves 22 with 16 games drawn between the two teams. Wolves have won all the last four games.
Wolves will be licking their Wembley wounds after losing out in the semifinal in dramatic fashion to Watford last weekend, winning with just a few seconds to go, they conceded a penalty from which Watford equalised and then the Hornets grabbed the winner in extra time to deflate Wolves Wembley aspirations.
Even so, it has still been a remarkable season for the Wolves fans to enjoy but I think this trip to the South Coast against an improving Southampton side is one that they will not particularly enjoy after the arduous weekend they had last Sunday.
The Saints were losers against Liverpool last time out, but I think Ralf Hassenhuttl has got this team going in the right direction. They have been much better at home in recent months and I can see them doing enough to get the result here.
Wolves tend to score goals but not a huge amount of goals on the road and Southampton looked like they could create plenty against Liverpool. Against Wolves, they may only need to score two goals to land the win and I feel a Southampton win by a 2-1 scoreline is the most likely outcome of this game.
Southampton to win & both teams to score - £10 returns £58.00
Crystal Palace are on 39 points in 12th place in the Premier League table having played 33 games. They are just three points behind West Ham in 11th.
Man City are second in the table with 80 points from 32 games, two behind Liverpool but with a game in hand. They have won all of their last eight games.
Palace are one of just four teams to beat City in the league this season, earning a 3-2 win at the Etihad back in December.
City have won seven of the last nine between the teams but have lost and drawn the last two games. Historically, City have 31 wins to Palace’s 16 (13 draws).
If Manchester City can land the quadruple, it would be the most incredible feat in English football history. No team has managed to achieve that and the next few weeks which see City involved in a total of six very tough games, with potentially a Champions League semifinal to come after that, could well be the key to their eventual success or failure.
For now City have the chance to exact some revenge over a Crystal Palace side that beat them in the Premier League back in December and who also earned a draw against them at Selhurst Park last season, in fact, Palace should have won that game but for a last minute penalty miss.
Palace are in decent form and have some quality players that can worry City but the way the visitors are playing at the moment means that I can’t really see Palace doing enough to worry City and I feel that City will score at least a couple of goals in order to earn the win.
Palace may grab one back in reply, but City have been hanging on to record vital wins in recent weeks and that is precisely what I can see them doing here too.
Man City to win & both teams to score - £10 returns £29.00
Liverpool have won all of their last five without keeping a clean sheet & they are top of the league by two points, though City in second have a game in hand.
Chelsea moved into third with their 2-0 win over West Ham on Monday, inspired by the brilliance of Eden Hazard who netted two outstanding goals in that game.
Liverpool’s last win over Chelsea at Anfield was way back in May 2012. They have won just two of the 16 games between the teams since. Chelsea winning six in that time.
The teams have met twice this season, Chelsea winning 2-1 at Anfield in a Carabao Cup tie three days before the teams drew 1-1 at Stamford Bridge in the Premier League.
It is fair to say that Liverpool have a shocking record against Chelsea in recent times with no wins at Anfield against the Blues since May 2012. That record will have to end here if they are to keep up with their hopes of landing the Premier League title.
Chelsea will revel in their chance to become spoilers once again as they did in April 2014, but this Liverpool side has been in good form of late and they should have real confidence heading into this game after a fine win away to Southampton on Friday night last weekend.
Chelsea though have Eden Hazard in superb form and he has been Liverpool’s chief tormentor when the teams have met recently and there is no doubt that the Reds will have to develop a plan to negate Hazard at Anfield, otherwise there is every likelihood that Chelsea could well end up with a point, if not all three.
Despite their shocking record, I am going against the odds here and backing Liverpool to win although I feel this could well be another nervy afternoon for the fans of the home team to endure.
Liverpool to win & both teams to score - £10 returns £33.00
David 'the Cheeky Punter' Lenton is an ex professional online sports bettor and trader with over 15 years of experience in the industry. He has also worked for a number of top bookmakers including Bet365, Ladbrokes, William Hill and Coral. With such a long time spent dedicated to the gambling industry no one is better placed when it comes to advising punters. Follow on Twitter @thecheekypunter