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Weekend Football Tips: 14th & 15th September
by David Lenton
We had another fantastic weekend last time around, posting a very healthy profit of £32.50.
That was thanks to England beating Bulgaria (exactly 4-0 as I predicted, hope you decided to have a sneaky Correct Score bet on that one) which saw a small profit and then we landed the big one when Portugal beat Serbia with both teams scoring which saw a lovely £40 total profit on that bet.
It was just a pity the Kosovo – Czech Republic game didn’t quite go as I’d thought (I’d done draw and both teams to score) as it would have been a real bumper weekend. Still after three weeks of successive good profits in a row, I can’t complain.
This week we are back with the Premier League once again for a run of matches.
Don’t forget that we also have the return of the Champions League and Europa League very shortly, keep your eyes peeled for tips for those two competitions too.
Football Tips: Saturday 14th September
September 14, 2019
September 14, 2019
Leaders Liverpool have the maximum 12 points from their opening 4 games.
Newcastle have picked up four points from their last two games to lie 14th in the table.
Liverpool have won three of the last five between the teams at Anfield, drawing two.
Newcastle’s last league win at Anfield was a 2-0 victory back in April 1994.
It’s fair to say that after a rocky start, Steve Bruce’s Newcastle have picked up a bit in recent weeks. A win at Tottenham was a huge result and a home draw with Watford, while not the best result given Watford had not earned a point all season, was still a point picked up.
However, they now face a Liverpool side in superb form who have won all four of their games in the league this season and are top of the table. Alisson’s continuing absence will still be felt though and that has been apparent in some unusual defensive lapses by the Reds this season.
Liverpool won this game 4-0 last season and in truth, I think it is going to be a tough afternoon for Newcastle once again. If Liverpool can get an early goal, then this could turn into a bit of a caning and in truth, I think that is what will happen.
That said, I still fancy Newcastle to score, so I am going to hedge my bets a little here and go for the over 3.5 goals and a small, better than even money return as backing Liverpool to win in almost any circumstances isn’t really worthwhile.
Man Utd are 8th in the table with 5 points from 4 games.
Leicester City are 3rd in the table with 8 points from their 4 games.
United have beaten Chelsea (4-0) at home but also lost 1-2 to Crystal Palace.
Leicester have drew at Chelsea and beaten Sheff Utd on the road this season.
A few years ago, Manchester United at home would have been pretty much unbackable for punters, but there are some real problems at Old Trafford still and it doesn’t look like Ole Gunnar Solskjaer has managed to resolve any of them over the summer.
Daniel James signing looks to be an astute one with the former Swansea man netting three goals already this season for United and another for Wales in the week. He will likely be a real threat to a Leicester side who I have been hugely impressed with this season.
To come away from games with Chelsea and Sheff Utd away from home with four points is a superb return, a home draw with Wolves was hard fought but they then put Bournemouth to the sword in their last game and I think are well primed to get another good result at Old Trafford.
If United hadn’t lost their last game, I’d have backed Leicester for a shock win here, but as it is, I think United will know they need something here and as a result I think a score draw is the most likely result.
Wolves are 17th in the table with 3 points from 3 draws in four games.
Chelsea lie 11th with five points, but a -3 goal difference.
Wolves have drawn both home games this season (Man Utd & Burnley).
Chelsea have won one (Norwich) and lost one (Man Utd) away from home.
It is tricky what to make of these two teams at this juncture of the season. Wolves have proven tough to beat (only Everton have managed it this season so far) but they are unable to turn those performances into wins at the moment and that will be a worry to their fans and manager Nuno Santo.
Chelsea are suffering a similar predicament, they have drawn three of their last four, including home games with Leicester and Sheffield United and only edged a 3-2 win at Norwich thanks to some clinical finishing from Abraham and Mount and some careless Norwich City defending.
Wolves I think are a much more difficult prospect and I think this is going to be a real test for Frank Lampard’s team. I am not fully convinced yet by Chelsea this season and I think Wolves may well expose that here. They need to bounce back after that loss at Everton and I think they’ll do that with a win here, although I do feel with the defences as they are, both teams will find the net.
Wolves to win & both teams to score - £10 returns £57.50
Bournemouth are 15th in the table with 4 points and a -3 goal difference.
Everton are 6th in the table with a 0 goal difference but 7 points in total.
Bournemouth have picked up just one point at home this season.
Everton have lost and drawn both their away league games this season.
I think both these teams will be content, rather than pleased with their start to the season so far. Bournemouth have played Man City at home, which does skew their stats a little, and I think they have been playing better than their league position suggests.
In contrast, I think Everton have been slightly fortunate to pick up the points they have at times, although I was impressed with their resilience against Wolves. However, they have yet to score on the road this season, though I fancy them to break their duck here on another trip south.
The problem is that while I can see both teams taking advantage of some poor defending to grab a goal, I am not convinced that either team is quite ready, or has the ability to add a second or even third goal to claim the win and as such, I am going to go for the draw and both teams to score here, which if it comes in, would guarantee me a profit on the weekend.
David 'the Cheeky Punter' Lenton is an ex professional online sports bettor and trader with over 15 years of experience in the industry. He has also worked for a number of top bookmakers including Bet365, Ladbrokes, William Hill and Coral. With such a long time spent dedicated to the gambling industry no one is better placed when it comes to advising punters. Follow on Twitter @thecheekypunter