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Weekend Football Tips: 15th & 16th September
by David Lenton
I find these early season international breaks so annoying.
Firstly, they break up the start to the Premier League season, secondly, managers tend to field more experimental teams in these games and lastly, players are not quite into the season fully as yet so are a bit away from their top form.
That all tends to make things a bit less predictable as we saw last weekend.
So after the frustration of last weekend and with the fact that we’d posted over £20 worth of profit in our last Premier League tips, I am delighted that the Premier League is back.
I have picked my top four tips from the weekends football action and they are all outlined below.
Football Betting Tips: Saturday 15th September
September 15, 2018
September 15, 2018
Liverpool come into this game top of the Premier League on goal difference with maximum points from their 12 games.
Tottenham lie in 5th place after their 2-1 defeat at Watford a fortnight back, having won their three games prior to that.
Spurs beat Liverpool 4-1 at Wembley last season and also earned a 2-2 draw at Anfield. Both Harry Kane and Dele Alli should be fit for this game.
Four of the last seven games between the teams have finished in draws, Liverpool winning two and Tottenham winning the other at Wembley last season.
Last season, these two teams played out two of the most exciting matches of the Premier League season with Tottenham destroying Liverpool 4-1 at Wembley, chiefly on the back of one of the most inept defensive displays you will see from a team.
Then at Anfield, Spurs missed a late penalty before Liverpool took the lead in injury time through a Mo Salah special but then in the last seconds, the referee gave Spurs a controversial penalty, which this time Harry Kane tucked away to ensure the game finished all square at 2-2.
If the entertainment is as good as those two games then fans will be in for a treat on Saturday but I think things will certainly be tighter. The Reds back line looks much stronger now and Alisson Becker, even despite his mishap at Leicester, is a massive upgrade on Loris Karius and that makes this Reds defence look so much stronger.
The unknown factor here is the effects of the international break and as such, I think both teams would prefer not to lose this game, which is why I think the smart bet is a draw.
Newcastle lie in 18th place, although they have had a very tough start facing Man City, Chelsea and Spurs in their opening games.
Arsenal also faced Man City & Chelsea, losing both, but have since chalked up wins over Cardiff and West Ham to lie 9th in the table.
Newcastle have conceded just six goals in their four games, scoring just three, Arsenal have scored eight, but have also conceded eight.
Newcastle have won just two of the last 19 games between the teams, breaking a losing streak of 10 games against Arsenal with a 2-1 win over the Gunners last season.
Both these sides haven’t been dealt a very easy start to the season, Arsenal began against Man City and then Chelsea, while Newcastle will have faced Spurs, Man City, Chelsea and Arsenal in their opening five games of the season (Cardiff away being the other game). As such, it is perhaps unsurprising that both these teams have fewer points than you would expect at this juncture of the season.
Arsenal have got back to winning ways over their last two games but it has been their attacking prowess rather than their defensive skills that have earned them the points. In truth, defensively at times, the Gunners have been shocking.
Newcastle have, in contrast, been somewhat solid defensively but have found scoring goals a problem. If the Toon Army can keep the Gunners quiet in attack, then they have a chance of winning the game. I can see them scoring but I feel the Arsenal attack will be too strong here.
Hence I can see this finishing in a nervy 2-1 win for the Gunners.
Arsenal To Win & Both Teams To Score - £10 returns £36.50
Watford have made a great start to the season, winning all four of their games and they lie third on the table on goal difference behind Chelsea & Liverpool.
Manchester united have picked up six points from their four games, losing to Brighton and Spurs, but recording wins over Leicester City and Burnley.
United have won 14 of the last 15 games between the teams stretching back to February 1987. Watford’s only win a 3-1 home victory in September 2016.
United could be without the unfortunate left back Luke Shaw who was concussed on England duty in the game against Spain.
Watford have started the season superbly well, but they face a team against who they have a dismal record over the years with just one win from 15 games, all the remaining games being losses. United fans have usually enjoyed their trips south to Watford and although their form isn’t great heading into this game, they may feel like they have a chance here.
That belief comes from an improved performance against Burnley which saw United land a 2-0 victory on the road. However, Jose Mourinho will know that Watford will be a much sterner test, having beaten a Tottenham team 2-1 a week after that same Spurs team destroyed United at Old Trafford by a 3-0 scoreline.
However, the reason I am going with United here is that Spurs struggled to cope with Watford’s strength and physicality from set pieces and I think United have the players to be able to deal with that threat. I also feel that United’s more physical midfield and attack will give Watford’s team more problems.
This will be close and Watford will push them hard but in the end I see United winning this one by a 2-1 scoreline.
Man Utd To Win & Both Teams To Score - £10 returns £41.00
Everton occupy seventh spot in the league table and are unbeaten this season having posted one win and three draws from their four games.
West Ham have lost all four matches so far this season, scoring just the two goals and conceding a very worrying Premier League high of 10.
West Ham have won just once at Goodison Park since December 2005, that a 3-2 victory in the Premier League in March 2016.
The Hammers have won just three of the last 23 games that they have played against the Toffees, home or away, in all competitions. Eight of those games finished as draws.
West Ham’s record against Everton over the years is the stuff of nightmares, so having this fixture after a run of four defeats in your first four Premier League games is hardly the ideal situation for Manuel Pellegrini and his team.
It’s clear to me that this Hammers team does have real quality and potential but at the moment, it looks like a team struggling to come to terms with all the changes made to it over the summer. The result is too many defensive errors leading to sloppy goals and the inevitable defeat.
Everton on the other hand, have looked a much more rounded side under Marco Silva. The signing of Richarlison looks like a clever move, but the striker is suspended following his recent red card and he was sorely missed in the game against Huddersfield.
That said, I still fancy Everton to get the job done here, but I feel that defensively they do give teams a chance. I can see West Ham finding the net at Goodison Park but I think that in the end, the home side will have too much pace and guile in the attacking third and will eventually claim the win.
Everton To Win & Both Teams To Score - £10 returns £36.50
David 'the Cheeky Punter' Lenton is an ex professional online sports bettor and trader with over 15 years of experience in the industry. He has also worked for a number of top bookmakers including Bet365, Ladbrokes, William Hill and Coral. With such a long time spent dedicated to the gambling industry no one is better placed when it comes to advising punters. Follow on Twitter @thecheekypunter