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Weekend Football Tips: 16th & 17th March
by David Lenton
It’s amazing to see four English teams in the Champions League quarter-finals but now their attention will turn back to domestic matters.
We’ve got rather an unusual weekend that mixes five Premier League games with four FA Cup Quarter-Final games.
I’ve picked the four games from both competitions which I feel offer the best value. My weekend football tips are below:
Football Tips: Saturday 9th March
March 16, 2019
March 16, 2019
Watford have won both games between the teams this season, both by a 2-1 scoreline.
These two met in the FA Cup semi-final in 2016, with Crystal Palace winning 2-1.
Watford have not lost a game to a team outside the top six in the Premier League since their 2-0 defeat away to Leicester on the 1st December 2018.
Crystal Palace’s last defeat away from home came in a 4-3 defeat to Liverpool at Anfield back on January 19th. They have won all three of their away games since then.
This should be an entertaining cup tie between two sides who look well-matched on paper. Watford have been the more consistent of the two teams this season domestically, there’s no doubt about that, but oddly enough their record in the FA Cup is identical in terms of results (two 2-0 wins and a 1-0 victory seeing both teams through to this stage).
With home advantage and the fact that they have beaten Palace twice already this season, Watford may feel they have the edge in this game and I feel in terms of a solid team, they are probably the one most fans would back.
However, Palace are a side that I think may not be quite so solid or cohesive, but they are a team that has some outstanding individuals who can land a knockout blow at any time and as such, I think Watford may find it hard to get the better of them here.
I feel this is an FA Cup tie that will require extra time to decide the winner and in fact, it could well go to penalties to see who does make it to Wembley semifinal day in April. As such, the draw at full time makes the most sense to back.
After three losses in a row Burnley find themselves 17th in the Premier League with 30 points, just two in front of 18th placed Cardiff City.
Leicester have won their last two home games but they have not won away from home since a 1-0 win over Everton on New Years Day.
The teams met in the league back in November with the game finishing in a rather uninspiring 0-0 draw at the King Power Stadium.
Burnley have won just two of the last 14 games between the teams stretching back to April 2011. Leicester have won eight of those games, with the other four matches drawn.
Burnley fans will be desperately hoping their teams losing run of three games will come to an end against Leicester City, who will also be hoping that new manager Brendan Rodgers can oversee his first away win as the new manager of the Foxes.
Sean Dyche though has proven to be a capable manager and he will know that Burnley need to pick up points quickly, especially with Cardiff and Southampton doing likewise. He should fancy his chances against a Leicester side that have been wildly inconsistent this season, especially against the lower sides in the table.
Leicester are a frustrating team for me, they play well in some tough games but then against lesser opponents just seem incapable of grabbing the win. I’m sure it has been a frustrating season for their fans and it will be interesting to see if Brendan Rodgers can change this mentality.
As such, I think Burnley will be really up for this game and if they can get the first goal, I fancy them to go on and win the game. Leicester, should find the net but I feel that Burnley have just enough to get the job done by a 2-1 scoreline.
Burnley to win & both teams to score - £10 returns £60.00
This is the first of two fixtures between the teams in quick succession, they also meet at Molineux in the Premier League in April.
The first game between the two teams this season finished in a 0-0 draw at Old Trafford in a game many felt Wolves had dominated.
Wolves have drawn three of their last six by a 1-1 scoreline. United’s 2-0 loss at Arsenal last weekend was their first domestic defeat under Ole Gunnar Solskjaer.
United have a very good recent record in this fixture winning 8 of the last ten games contested between the teams in all competitions.
I think this could be a cracking FA Cup tie. Wolves have been the nemesis of a number of top six teams already this season and Manchester United have been in great form since Ole Gunnar Solskjaer took over the helm, although they did suffer their first defeat domestically last weekend away to Arsenal.
In the same weekend, Wolves went to Stamford Bridge and emerged with a creditable draw and almost snatched the win. As such, United will be under no illusions as to the task facing them here against a side that always seem to raise their game against the top sides.
I think Wolves are set up well to cause United problems but by the same token, I also feel United have enough potency in attack to cause Wolves real issues too. I do see both teams scoring but I also feel that neither may do enough to get the win inside 90 minutes.
As such, I am backing the draw here which will then send the game into extra time. Here it could be anyone's game but I am just backing the experience United have to see them through in the tie, although it could well take penalties to decide it.
Everton lie 11th in the Premier League. They have won just one of their last six games and have not won at home for three games (since beating Bournemouth in January).
Chelsea are 6th in the Premier League but have a game in hand on the teams above them. Since losing the Cup Final to Man City, they have gone undefeated in four games.
Everton have won just three of the last 15 games between the teams, with three games drawn and Chelsea winning the other nine matches.
All of Everton’s last five wins over Chelsea have come at Goodison Park stretching back to May 2011.
Everton are a difficult team to judge at the minute. They went 2-0 up at Newcastle last weekend but then conceded three goals to lose the game. Their home record of late is very poor, especially against the top six, but there’s no denying that on their day they can give any team a real run for their money.
However, it seems Everton only really seem motivated for the big games, notably the Merseyside derby and that for me is a real worry. Especially against a Chelsea side that historically have an excellent record against the Blue half of Merseyside and who have bounced back well following their Carabao Cup penalties loss to Manchester City.
I think Mauricio Sarri seems to have his team getting back to something like their best and although they struggled a little against Wolves last weekend, they are not the first team in the top six to do that this season. As such, I think they will be up for this game against an inconsistent Everton side.
I don’t think either side is particularly strong defensively and as such, I can see both teams finding the net but I feel Chelsea just have that extra attacking edge that should see them earn the victory here.
Chelsea to win & both teams to score - £10 returns £39.00
David 'the Cheeky Punter' Lenton is an ex professional online sports bettor and trader with over 15 years of experience in the industry. He has also worked for a number of top bookmakers including Bet365, Ladbrokes, William Hill and Coral. With such a long time spent dedicated to the gambling industry no one is better placed when it comes to advising punters. Follow on Twitter @thecheekypunter