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Weekend Football Tips: 18th & 19th January
by David Lenton
We made a clear profit of £15 on last weekend’s tips and while that is better than I have posted in the last couple of weeks, I am still a little disappointed…
Newcastle’s keeper Martin Dubravka put in a stellar display to deny Wolves a win, which would have swelled that amount by almost £40 more while had I just backed a Liverpool win, rather than a Reds win and both teams to score, we’d have posted more profit.
Still, a profit is a profit and overall I’m not complaining.
We have one more Premier League game this weekend, followed by a midweek set of games and then it is another FA Cup weekend, so it is a busy week or so for teams and also for tips, so keep your eyes peeled for all three sets of tips across those fixtures.
Here’s my tips for this weekend’s selection of games.
Football Betting Tips: Saturday 18th January
January 18, 2020
January 18, 2020
Only Liverpool have better form than Watford over the last 5 EPL games (4 wins, 1 draw)
Tottenham, in contrast have picked up just four points from the last 15 available to them.
The teams drew 1-1 at Tottenham Hotspurs Stadium back in October.
Tottenham have gone 8 games in all competitions without a clean sheet.
It is fair to say that Nigel Pearson has had a dream start as Watford manager. A solid performance in defeat at Liverpool has been followed by four wins and a draw in their next five games, enough to move the Hornets off the bottom of the table and even out of the bottom three to occupy 17th place in the table.
Spurs lie eighth with 30 points, just eight more than Watford, but it is fair to see that Jose Mourinho hasn’t had quite the impact with Spurs that Daniel Levy and Spurs fans would have hoped he had. A lacklustre defeat at home to Liverpool last time out being a case in point.
For me, Watford look the more hungrier, hard working and organised of the two teams and while ordinarily you would back Spurs better quality to win this game, I have a feeling Watford are going to carry on their good form here too. I’m backing the in form Hornets to win again here.
Norwich are bottom of the table with just 14 points, 8 points from safety.
Bournemouth are one place above them with 20 points, 2 points from safety.
Bournemouth have just one win in their last 11 Premier League games.
Norwich have just one win in their last 17 Premier League games.
It is fair to say that you are going to struggle to find two teams with as dismal a run of form as Norwich and Bournemouth in the EPL and it is right that they occupy the bottom two spots in the table. It’s a shock for Bournemouth who have beaten the likes of Everton and Man Utd at home this season but injuries have hit them hard and they look a side sorely lacking confidence.
Norwich equally have found life very tough in the Premier League this time around and conceding goals has been their main problem having let in four against Liverpool and Man Utd, as well as five against Aston Villa. The Canaries have conceded a division worst 45 goals in their 22 games.
I feel this is a must win game for Norwich and a game Bournemouth will want to win, but will feel they need to avoid defeat more in. In truth, while I feel Bournemouth are the better team, the fact Norwich are at home gives them a bit of an advantage but not enough for me to feel they can win here.
As such, I am going to predict that this one ends all-square at the final whistle.
West Ham lie 16th with 22 points, but they do have a game in hand.
Everton lie 11th after winning three of their last four games.
West Ham boss David Moyes is a former Everton manager.
Everton have won the last two between these two teams by a 2-0 scoreline.
It’s going to be an interesting test for new bosses David Moyes of West Ham and Everton’s Carlo Ancelotti in this game at the London Stadium. David Moyes is an ex-Everton boss and is still well-liked on Merseyside, though the Blues fans will be hoping it is their new boss who comes out on top at the London Stadium on Saturday.
Everton’s recent form has been much improved of late under both Duncan Ferguson and latterly Ancelotti, but that derby defeat in the FA Cup still looms large for the Toffees and their away form this season has been very inconsistent with good performances often backed up a by a number of below par displays.
West Ham’s home form hasn’t been any better in truth and the Hammers have often played better on the road. Everton have the better form of late, but I just feel with Moyes history with the Toffees and West Ham badly needing a result, especially after the VAR nonsense at Bramhall Lane against Sheff Utd, they will be up for this one.
I can see this one being decided by a single goal and while you can make a case for both teams here, the stats going back the last few years are very even, I am going to back the home side to land the narrow victory.
Liverpool are 14 points clear at the top of the EPL with a game in hand.
United lie 5th having won three of their last four games in the Premier League.
Liverpool are unbeaten in 51 Premier League games at Anfield.
United are the only team to pick up a point against Liverpool this season.
Back in October, Manchester United became the only team to pick up a point against Liverpool this season earning a 1-1 draw. The Reds have played 18 of their 19 possible opponents in the EPL so far this season (they have yet to face West Ham) and it is only their rivals that have managed to deny them three points so far.
While United will be delighted at that fact, they will also know that in recent games between the teams, Liverpool have dominated possession and chances and last season in this fixture, Liverpool won 3-1 leading to Jose Mourinho’s sacking. A big defeat for Ole Gunnar Solskjaer here could equally have the Norwegian facing real pressure.
United do have the knowledge that they have beaten Manchester City on the road, but that was one of just three wins away from Old Trafford this season in the league and in truth, Liverpool’s back line, with 9 clean sheets in their last 11 games (10 if you discount the Carabao Cup quarterfinal where the Reds fielded an under strength U23 team) are much stronger that City’s was in that game.
I can see United breaking Liverpool’s defensive resilience here but I don’t think it will be anywhere near enough and I think Liverpool fans will be celebrating a good win over their local rivals come Sunday evening.
Liverpool to win & both teams to score - £10 returns £30.00
David 'the Cheeky Punter' Lenton is an ex professional online sports bettor and trader with over 15 years of experience in the industry. He has also worked for a number of top bookmakers including Bet365, Ladbrokes, William Hill and Coral. With such a long time spent dedicated to the gambling industry no one is better placed when it comes to advising punters. Follow on Twitter @thecheekypunter