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Weekend Football Tips: 19th & 20th October
by David Lenton
I didn’t bring you any tips for last weeks International games, so it’s been a couple of weeks since out last set of tips which saw us bring in one winner for just shy of £30, so not the best week.
However, you need to view that in the context of several weeks beforehand which have seen me land solid profit, so overall, I am upbeat on how things are going.
I want that to continue this weekend too as we take a look at some of the big games, with none bigger than the game at Old Trafford on Sunday as Manchester United face the current league leaders Liverpool in what could be a defining moment for both teams this season.
It is going to be interesting to see how the teams get on following the international break. Man City in particular have had a couple of weeks to stew over their 2-0 loss at home to Wolves and they face a tricky trip to Crystal Palace this weekend while beleaguered Everton boss Marco Silva faces a tough home game against West Ham at Goodison at lunchtime.
It promises to be an interesting weekend of games and here’s our tips for four of them taking place across Saturday and Sunday.
Football Tips: Saturday 19th October
October 19, 2019
October 19, 2019
Villa have not been beaten in their last two games to lie 15th in the table.
Brighton are one place above them in the table, having amassed one point more.
The teams have met just 22 times previously, Villa winning 12, Brighton 3 with 7 draws.
Brighton have not won any of the last 8 games between the teams.
This is a fixture which does not have a particularly long history but which sees Aston Villa as the dominant team in the game. Villa have won four and drawn four of the last eight games between the teams going back to December 1981, and Brighton’s last win in this game came in December 1980. Before that their only two wins came in 1971 and 1972.
The two most recent league games between the two sides in the 16/17 season in the Championship both finished all square at 1-1, but Villa most recently came out on top, winning 3-1 in the Carabao Cup in Brighton back in September.
I think the confidence gained from that victory and their stunning 5-1 success over Norwich City at Carrow Road last time out will have Villa soaring here in front of their own fans. Brighton though have started to pick up points again after several weeks without a win.
Their stunning win at home to Spurs, 3-0, means they too come into this game with confidence but I think with Villa at home, this game will favour them and while I can see Brighton scoring, I expect Villa to run out, most likely 2-1 winners here.
Aston Villa to win & both teams to score - £10 returns £44.00
Bournemouth lie 10th in the table, without a win in their last 2 outings.
Norwich have lost three on the bounce since beating Man City to drop to 19th.
No team has conceded more goals than Norwich this season (21 in 8 games).
Bournemouth have won both the last two games between the teams 3-0 and 2-1.
It’s been a really mixed season for Bournemouth so far, they have won and lost the same number of games, have scored and conceded the same number of goals and lie in the middle of the table in 10th place. However, I think they are a better team than that position suggests and I feel they will prove that here against Norwich.
The Canaries have struggled since their incredible home win over Manchester City, losing their last three games in a row and last time out they were thrashed 5-1 at home by Aston Villa. A trip to the south coast is a tough ask for a team that is shipping goals at the rate of well over two per game.
Daniel Farke’s team always look liable to get a goal, especially with Pukki in attack, but defensively they have been found wanting several times already this season and I think they are going to find it tough against a Bournemouth side that have been strong at home.
I’m backing Norwich to score, but for me Bournemouth should still run out comprehensive winners here.
Bournemouth to win & both teams to score - £10 returns £28.00
Palace lie in a lofty 6th place in the Premier League with 14 points.
City lie 2nd in the table with 16 points, eight behind leaders Liverpool.
City striker Sergio Aguero could miss out having picked up a knock on international duty.
Palace were one of just four teams to beat City in the league last season.
Last season, Crystal Palace produced one of the upsets of the season when defeating Manchester City 3-2 at the Etihad Stadium and the season before, they were a missed penalty away from defeating City at Selhurst Park.
There is no doubt that Palace, who have already beaten Manchester United this season, can raise their game against the top sides and that will be a worry for City, especially after their 2-0 home defeat by Wolves last time out, a result which stunned many in the Premier League.
City will be hoping that no more players come back from international duty carrying knocks after Sergio Aguero came back with an injury from his time with Argentina and with problems in defence, this looks like being a very tough game for City.
I do think Palace can expose that City back line, but City will be well aware that they cannot fall any further behind Liverpool here and as such, I am backing them to win this one narrowly, albeit with both teams finding the net.
Man City to win & both teams to score - £10 returns £26.50
United have endured their worst start in many years to lie 12th in the table with 9 points.
Liverpool are top with a maximum 24 points from their eight games so far.
Five of the last seven games between these teams have finished in a draw.
Paul Pogba could be fit for United after recovering from injury.
It is not unfair to suggest that this is a far more important game for Manchester United than it is Liverpool. The home side have endured a miserable start to the season and manager Ole Gunnar Solskjaer badly needs a positive result to kick start their season.
United could have Paul Pogba back from injury and he will be a welcome addition to a team that has sorely struggled for goals at home and on the road recently and who will be taking on a team with a perfect record in the Premier League so far this season.
Liverpool should be confident of getting a result here against a side that they have tended to struggle against recently with just two wins from the last 12 games between the teams. Jurgen Klopp will know a win here would send out a huge statement to the teams chasing the Reds.
This will be blood and thunder I am sure, but I just see Liverpool being so dangerous on the counter that they can pick apart this lacklustre United back line and take another win here, although I do back United to also find the net.
Liverpool to win & both teams to score - £10 returns £35.00
David 'the Cheeky Punter' Lenton is an ex professional online sports bettor and trader with over 15 years of experience in the industry. He has also worked for a number of top bookmakers including Bet365, Ladbrokes, William Hill and Coral. With such a long time spent dedicated to the gambling industry no one is better placed when it comes to advising punters. Follow on Twitter @thecheekypunter