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Weekend Football Tips: 22nd & 23rd December
by David Lenton
Well, we have Jan Vertonghen to thank for a very small £2 profit on last weekend’s games.
Europe wasn’t so good last week and looking back, I think maybe I was a little bit too clever trying to go for the longer odds options in a couple of games.
This weekend, I’m going to do my best to put that right.
Do keep your eyes peeled over the festive period for tips on Boxing Day, the weekend after and then New Year’s Day games. They will be posted up just prior to those games and all that is left for me to say is that I hope you have a fabulous, and profitable, Christmas.
Football Tips: Saturday 22nd December
December 21, 2019
December 21, 2019
A draw away to Man Utd saw Everton stay in 16th in the EPL table on 18 points.
Arsenal’s home defeat to Man City saw them drop to 9th on 22 points.
Both sides are seeking to appoint a new manager ahead of this game.
Everton have won two of the last 10 between the teams. Arsenal winning the other eight.
Two teams that have got rid of their manager but who have seen a markedly different reaction to life under their caretaker boss. Since Duncan Ferguson took over the reins, Everton have beaten Chelsea and drawn away to Manchester United, In contrast Arsenal were thumped 3-0 at home by Man City last week and despite a win at West Ham, they also struggled at home to Southampton under Freddie Ljungberg.
So it is fair to say that both these teams have had contrasting reactions to the situation they find themselves in and I would not be surprised to see Arsenal try to bring in a new manager as quickly as possible. Everton may be tempted to ride the Ferguson good will train a little longer given how the Scot has galvanised the team.
The problem I see for Arsenal is even if a new man does come in, the problems in the squad are still there and he can’t do a huge amount in January to change that. As such, I think Everton’s new found form and optimism will be the decisive factor here. Arsenal will score, but I am backing Everton to land another home win.
Everton to win & both teams to score - £10 returns £40.00
Man City lie 3rd in the table 4 points behind Leicester City in second.
The Foxes only defeats this season were away to Man Utd and Liverpool.
Man City have the best attacking record (47 goals), Leicester the best defence (11 conceded)
Leicester City have won just three of the last 18 games between the teams.
This looks a tricky game to call. Leicester have the better recent record of the two teams and lie four points clear of City. They also pushed City very hard in both games last season, beating City at home and pushing them very hard in a 1-0 defeat away from home.
This is a game Liverpool fans can sit back and enjoy knowing one of maybe both of their chief title rivals are going to drop points. Had Leicester kept their run of consecutive wins going last weekend at home to Norwich, I’d have probably backed them to pick up a point here.
However, City’s performance against Arsenal, led by the magical Kevin de Bruyne, means that even though Leicester have the best defence in the Premier League, I can’t see them keeping City out here and while I can see Leicester breaching that City back line, which is worryingly open, I still feel Man City will claim the win.
Man City to win & both teams to score - £10 returns £27.00
A 2-0 defeat at Anfield leaves Watford bottom of the table, 7 points from safety.
United’s 1-1 draw with Everton moved them into sixth in the table behind Spurs.
Out of the last 17 games between the teams Watford have 1 win to United’s 16.
In 32 games in total, Watford have 5 wins, with 5 draws to 22 wins for United.
A quick look at the previous history for this fixture makes for dismal reading for Hornets fans, they have won just one of the last 17 games between the two teams with United winning every other game. Of the five draws between the teams, the last came back in the mid 1980s with United winning almost every other contest between the two since.
However, there were real signs that Nigel Pearson has started to instil a bit of a backbone in this Watford side at Anfield last week and really they could and perhaps should have taken a point from that game. They certainly appear to be on a better track under their new manager after a dismal first half of the season.
United’s point at home to Everton kept them in the top six, but in truth United are still struggling for form. They have lost just four in the Premier League this season, the same as Manchester City but they have struggled to pick points up on the road at times.
That said, I feel that United are starting to look a little more consistent and Watford’s dismal record against them will weigh heavy on the home side, as will their desperate situation. As such, I am backing United to land the win, but I do feel Watford will score a goal.
Man Utd to win & Both Teams to Score - £10 returns £37.00
Tottenham moved into 5th last week with their win at Wolves. They have 26 points in total.
Chelsea’s loss to Bournemouth was their fourth in five EPL games. They are 4th on 29 pts.
A Spurs win would move them above Chelsea on goal difference.
Mourinho returns to another former club. He lost v Man Utd a couple of weeks ago.
These two teams have the inverse form over the last five games, Chelsea losing four and winning one and Spurs winning four and losing one and both teams also lost in Manchester over that period. Chelsea’s lack of form must be a worry for Frank Lampard ahead of a busy festive period, especially with the likes of Man Utd, Sheffield United and today’s opponents Spurs closing the gap.
Since Jose Mourinho took over at Tottenham he has led them to four wins in the league and they have moved into fifth place last weekend. A win here would see them leapfrog Chelsea on goal difference and move into the Champions League places, something that was perhaps unthinkable for Spurs just a few weeks ago.
The signs are ripe that Chelsea will try to buy at least one, if not two big name players in January, and they may need them as their youngsters are struggling a little, as proven by their last two home losses to Bournemouth and West Ham, games which at their best, Chelsea would always fancy their chances of winning.
For me, the momentum for these two sides is a key thing and in the past few weeks, it has swung more in Tottenham’s favour than Chelsea and while I can see Chelsea finding the net, I still feel Spurs will do enough to claim the win.
Tottenham to win & both teams to score - £10 returns £39.00
David 'the Cheeky Punter' Lenton is an ex professional online sports bettor and trader with over 15 years of experience in the industry. He has also worked for a number of top bookmakers including Bet365, Ladbrokes, William Hill and Coral. With such a long time spent dedicated to the gambling industry no one is better placed when it comes to advising punters. Follow on Twitter @thecheekypunter