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Weekend Football Tips: 22nd & 23rd February
by David Lenton
I had a small loss last weekend of £5.50, but in reality, I should be celebrating a profit of over £70,00 and it is only down to the total ineptitude of the VAR official in the Chelsea v Manchester United game on Monday night that this is not the case.
I backed United to win and both teams to score. United duly obliged with the win, but Chelsea had two goals disallowed, Giroud’s header was, by the law, offside, but Zouma’s disallowed goal came from a supposed push by Azpilicueta who himself was shoved into the United player by Fred!
Honestly, I have not seen a worse display of VAR ineptitude by any official than in that game.
Not that I am sore about it of course…
Anyway, I am hoping VAR doesn’t scupper my hopes once again for this coming weekend’s selection of games, three of which I have taken from Saturday’s games and one from Sunday.
Football Betting Tips: Saturday 22nd February
February 22, 2020
February 22, 2020
Chelsea remain fourth but have picked up just one win in their last five games.
Tottenham are 5th, one point behind Chelsea and will move 4th with a win.
Chelsea were 2-0 winners when the teams met on the 22nd December.
Son is out for Tottenham, as is Harry Kane, which is a huge blow for the visitors.
I have to say Chelsea were disgracefully treated by the VAR official in their Monday game with Manchester United and I only hope they get a bit more fairness shown to them with the game with Spurs today.
Tottenham have won all their last three under Jose Mourinho but suffered a huge blow in the week when Heung-min Son was ruled out with an arm injury and is likely out for a few weeks. With Harry Kane already out until April, this is a massive blow for Spurs as their two top strikers are out.
As such, a game I was fancying Tottenham to win, I now feel that it is most likely to end in a draw. Chelsea don’t go too many games at home without scoring and I can see them scoring here, but I don’t think they have the cutting edge to get another. Spurs, in the form they are in, can capitalise on that to grab an equaliser and claim a share of the spoils.
Crystal Palace lie 14th in the table on 30 points. Newcastle are 13th with a point more.
In terms of goalscoring, Newcastle have the 2nd worst, Palace the worst records in the EPL.
Palace’s defensive record of 32 conceded is the best in the bottom half.
Newcastle were 1-0 winners when the teams met just before Christmas.
I have to admit and say that I picked this fixture based solely on the defensive record of Palace and the attacking records of both teams. Neither side has found goals easy to come by this season. Palace have scored 23, the fewest in the EPL, while Newcastle have just one more. That to me sounds like two teams who struggle to score against any opponent.
Newcastle are also on the road and against a defence that has conceded just 32 goals this season, that is two fewer than Tottenham and four fewer than Chelsea. So, it is safe to say I can’t see Newcastle’s misfiring attack find the net more than once, if at all, here.
However, I can say the same for Palace who have found goals hard to come by and who have been extremely inconsistent at home. As such, I think this has a 0-0, or at best, 1-1 draw all over it, so I am backing the draw with under 2.5 goals as this is unlikely to be a goal fest in the making.
Leicester are 3rd in the Premier League, Man City lie 2nd.
Leicester have won just one of their last five games.
Man City beat Leicester 3-1 when the teams met just before Christmas.
Man City have won 11 of the last 15 between the two. Leicester winning just 3.
In terms of who is most likely to finish second in the title race behind Liverpool, I think that this game is going to be crucial. It is a game that I feel Leicester City must win if they are to beat Manchester City to the runners up spot in the title race, however a win for the Citizens on the road would put them too far ahead of Leicester for the home side to make up in my view.
In truth, I think that the away win is the more likely. Leicester have been on a somewhat jittery run of form of late and they haven’t really been looking as strong or well-organised at the back as they did earlier on in the season. Their 4-0 home loss to Liverpool seems to have been the point at which their form did nosedive.
Man City have, in contrast, been in pretty solid form by and large, but they are still dropping points in games that they should not. The problem for Leicester fans is that I don’t see them doing that here. As such, while I can see Leicester scoring a goal, I do feel that Manchester City will run out the winners here.
Man City to win & both teams to score - £10 returns £30.00
Arsenal are unbeaten in their last 8, lie 10th in the table, 2 points behind Everton.
Everton have 36 points to lie 9th in the table. They have won 3 of their last 5.
The teams have met 213 times, Arsenal winning 106 to Everton’s 61, with 46 draws.
Everton last won away to Arsenal in January 1996. A 2-1 victory.
There is absolutely no doubt that since the 1980s, Arsenal have enjoyed by far the upper hand in this fixture, with Everton having just one win away to Arsenal since 1987. That said, the last two games between the two teams have been closely contested, Everton winning 1-0 at home last season and then drawing 0-0 at Goodison with Arsenal this.
Both sides have been difficult to beat of late since they changed their manager in mid-season. Arsenal’s rise up the table has been slower due to a higher proportion of drawn games than Everton but of the two teams, there’s no doubt that Arsenal have the more dynamic and dangerous attack, but I also feel they are the weakest also defensively.
I don’t think either team will have been at the level that they would have liked to have been at this season for much of the season but both teams are showing signs of turning things around a little now. And with a potential fifth placed finish maybe enough to clinch a Champions League spot if Manchester City are banned, then there is still lots to play for, for both teams.
Normally with home advantage, I’d just go for Arsenal here, but I just have the sneaky feeling that with Everton’s better form they can do enough to secure a point in what I feel will be a 1-1 draw.
David 'the Cheeky Punter' Lenton is an ex professional online sports bettor and trader with over 15 years of experience in the industry. He has also worked for a number of top bookmakers including Bet365, Ladbrokes, William Hill and Coral. With such a long time spent dedicated to the gambling industry no one is better placed when it comes to advising punters. Follow on Twitter @thecheekypunter