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Weekend Football Tips: 22nd & 23rd September

Premier League TipsWe had a fantastic weekend last time out, posting a clear profit of +£37.50 from £10 stakes, and I’m keen to follow that up with more winners (if I can).

It’s been an interesting start to the season with Chelsea, Liverpool and Manchester City setting the pace and standards in the competition thus far.

Arsenal, Manchester United and Spurs are now all looking to bounce back after less than stellar starts which has seen them all lose two games each.

Will that change this weekend? Let’s take a look at my tips for four big games in the Premier League on Saturday and Sunday.

Football Betting Tips: Saturday 22tnd September

September 22, 2018
Burnley
VS
Bournemouth
Turf Moor
3:00 pm
Burnley Logo
Burnley
VS
Bournemouth Logo
Bournemouth
September 22, 2018
Turf Moor
3:00 pm
Key Stats
  • Burnley are bottom of the Premier League having lost all of their last four, taking just one point from their opening five games.
  • In contrast, Bournemouth lie in fifth place with ten points from their opening five matches, having scored 10 goals in those games.
  • Last season saw both matches end in 2-1 victories for the away team, Burnley winning their game in November while Bournemouth won at Turf Moor in May.
  • The teams have met 28 times in their history and Burnley have 11 wins, with 11 matches drawn and just the six wins for Bournemouth.
Analysis:

Burnley have lost all of their last four games and their only point came from an opening day draw at Southampton. Bournemouth have enjoyed a superb start in contrast and lie in fifth spot in the table, a deserved position for what has been a fine five game run for Eddie Howe’s men.

Ordinarily, you’d then back the visitors to snatch the win here, but something about Sean Dyche’s steely character makes me feel he will have his Burnley team right up for this one. The Clarets have had a tough start and I think he will have earmarked this as the game where his team get their season back on track.

However, the confidence in the Bournemouth side is such at the moment that I cannot see the Cherries wilting in the face of Burnley performing well and I think in attack, they have the players to at least equal the number of goals Burnley score.

As such, I think the smart money here is on the draw.

Draw - £10 returns £34.00
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September 22, 2018
Man Utd
VS
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Old Trafford
3:00 pm
Man Utd Logo
Man Utd
VS
Wolverhampton Wanderers Logo
Wolverhampton Wanderers
September 22, 2018
Old Trafford
3:00 pm
Key Stats
  • United recovered well after losing two of their opening three games to now have nine points and occupy eighth place in the league table after five games.
  • Wolves are just one point and one place behind United in 9th place in the Premier League table, scoring and conceding five goals in those five matches.
  • United have won eight of the last ten matches between the two teams, including 4-1 and 5-0 wins back in the 2011-2012 season.
  • The teams have met 98 times previously. United have won 48 times, Wolves 34 with just 16 games between the teams ending in draws.
Analysis:

I think this promises to be an intriguing match up. United will know that they are expected to win this game but they face a Wolves side who have lost just once in the Premier League this season and who took a point off Manchester City earlier in the campaign.

I can see Wolves adopting similar tactics here, sitting back to soak up pressure and then hitting United on the break as they did so effectively against City. Doing that at Molineux is one thing, but doing the same at Old Trafford will be much tougher and as such, I think it is a tactic that perhaps won’t pay off in terms of a result.

What I do feel though, is that Wolves are so dangerous on the counter, that they will cause United plenty of problems and likely grab a goal. But for me, United’s attacking threat, especially with Lukaku now back amongst the goals, means they should get the win here.

As such, I’m backing United to win, but I do feel Wolves will find the net at least once and make a real game of it at Old Trafford.

Man Utd To Win & Both Teams To Score - £10 returns £36.50
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Football Tips: Sunday 23rd September

September 22, 2018
West Ham
VS
Chelsea
London Stadium
1:30 pm
West Ham Logo
West Ham
VS
Chelsea Logo
Chelsea
September 22, 2018
London Stadium
1:30 pm
Key Stats
  • West Ham’s win at Everton last weekend moved them off the foot of the Premier League table and up to 16th place.
  • Chelsea continued their winning start with a 4-1 thumping of Cardiff City in which Eden Hazard scored a hat-trick.
  • Chelsea’s recent record at West Ham isn’t great, losing three of the last four times the teams have met on West Ham’s own turf.
  • The Blues have a slightly better historic record winning 49 matches against West Ham to West Ham’s 40. 21 matches between the teams have finished in a draw.
Analysis:

There’s no doubt that the manner of West Ham’s win over Everton last week will have given the team a real surge of confidence and they are going to need it heading back to home soil to take on a Chelsea team that have been invincible so far this season, winning all five of their Premier League games.

The Hammers actually have a very good record over Chelsea at home in recent times, winning three of the last four, and that win last week will be the one result Chelsea fans would not have wanted as the Hammers do have a tendency to raise their game against Chelsea over the years.

However, with Eden Hazard in superb form and Chelsea looking like genuine title contenders once again, I can’t see how they can slip up here especially against a West Ham back line that has looked very leaky at times and which still shipped plenty of decent chances against Everton last week.

I can see West Ham making life difficult for Chelsea and they may even grab a goal, but I do think Chelsea will score at least twice and will in the end take the three points on offer.

Chelsea To Win & Both Teams To Score - £10 returns £28.80
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September 23, 2018
Arsenal
VS
Everton
Emirates
4:00 pm
Arsenal Logo
Arsenal
VS
Everton Logo
Everton
September 23, 2018
Emirates
4:00 pm
Key Stats
  • After two defeats, the Gunners have won their last three games to move into 7th place in the Premier League table just behind Spurs on goal difference.
  • Everton’s loss to West Ham was their first defeat of the season. They lie in 10th place in the table with six points following one win and three draws.
  • This fixture is one of the most frequently played in British football with the teams meeting an incredible 210 times. Arsenal winning 105, Everton 60 and 45 matches have been draws.
  • Everton have a terrible record against Arsenal winning just two of the last 24 matches between the teams, Arsenal winning 16 of those games (6 draws).
Analysis:

Everton were sick of the sight of Arsenal last season as the Gunners rattled in ten goals past the Toffees in their two games, a 5-2 win at Goodison followed by a 5-1 win at the Emirates. I do expect this game between the teams to be much closer.

Last weekend, Everton were very disappointing at home to West Ham where a lack of recognised centre-backs cost them dearly allowing Arnautovic and Yarmolenko to carve their makeshift back line apart. With Aubameyang and Lacazette likely to face them this week, I don’t hold out too much hope that Everton will be winning this one.

However, their one chance comes from the fact that Arsenal are looking far from assured at the back themselves and at the moment, they are struggling with Unai Emery’s decision to play out from the back. That could hurt them in the long run, especially against top quality sides.

For me though, the Gunners firepower is what will be the deciding factor here and I am backing them to grab their fourth Premier League victory in a row on Sunday afternoon, though I do feel Everton will find the net at least once against that leaky Gunner’s back line.

Arsenal To Win & Both Teams To Score - £10 returns £27.50
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*Tips are exactly that tips (predictions) and do not guarantee success.

the Cheeky Punter
The Cheeky Punter is an ex professional online sports bettor and trader with over 15 years of experience in the industry. He has worked for a number of top bookmakers including Ladbrokes, William Hill and Coral. He's also written for a number of leading news outlets including the Guardian, i (newspaper) and Soccer Lens. More about him here.