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Weekend Football Tips: 24th & 25th November

Premier League TipsI’m glad we are heading back to the Premier League this weekend for a long run of games until the Winter break in the New Year.

That will of course encompass all the festive program of fixtures, which includes some absolutely cracking games.

This week, we have a cracker of its own to enjoy on Saturday evening as Tottenham take on Chelsea at Wembley. Other key games include Liverpool and Manchester City both on the road as they head to Watford and West Ham respectively and there are a couple of relegation six-pointers including Fulham taking on Southampton and then on Monday night, Burnley’s clash with Newcastle.

Let’s hope that we can get back to winning ways and follow up the second batch of more positive results last week with another bumper week of tips this week. Here’s the tips for the weekend.

Football Betting Tips: Saturday 24th November

November 24, 2018
Fulham
VS
Southampton
Craven Cottage
3:00 pm
Fulham Logo
Fulham
VS
Southampton Logo
Southampton
November 24, 2018
Craven Cottage
3:00 pm
Key Stats
  • Fulham’s recent form is extremely poor, having not scored a goal in their last four games and losing all of their last seven.
  • Southampton though have won just once this season, although they have picked up draws in three of their last five matches.
  • The only recent meeting between the teams was an FA Cup Third Round tie in January 2018, which Southampton won 1-0 at Craven Cottage.
  • Fulham have not beaten Southampton since September 2004, with the Saints winning all the last three games contested between the teams.
Analysis:

This is a game where I am going to throw the form book out of the window. Fulham are in the midst of a miserable run of games and cannot seemingly buy a goal or a point. Since their last game though they have sacked Slavisa Jokanovic and brought in the Tinkerman, Claudio Ranieri in what looks like being an inspired appointment.

Ranieri, harshly sacked by Leicester a few years back, now has the task of galvanising a talented but seemingly lacking confidence Fulham team and as we know from what he achieved at Leicester, that does seem to be Ranieri’s forte.

The other positive for Fulham is that they are playing a Southampton side who have also won just one game this season and who cannot take three points from games. I really feel this is a great opportunity for Fulham to get a rare win.

Add to that the fact that when new managers come in, teams tend to get a bit of a bounce-back in form and with the home crowd likely to be really up for this game, I really do feel this is going to be a game that bucks the trend and it will be Fulham’s afternoon.

Fulham to win - £10 returns £26.30
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November 24, 2018
West Ham
VS
Man City
London Stadium
3:00 pm
West Ham Logo
West Ham
VS
Man City Logo
Man City
November 24, 2018
London Stadium
3:00 pm
Key Stats
  • West Ham’s form heading into the game is somewhat erratic with just one win in their last five games, which leaves them in 13th place in the league table.
  • In contrast, City have won all of their last five & have scored 15 in their last three, including two six-goal hauls. They are top of the table by two points.
  • City have an outstanding recent record in this fixture winning all of the last five games between the teams and 11 of the last 14 matches between the teams.
  • The omens are not good for West Ham, their last three home games against Manchester City have ended in 5-0, 4-0 and 4-1 defeats.
Analysis:

West Ham fans must dread this fixture as the last three games between the teams in London has seen Manchester City net 13 goals to West Ham’s one. In truth, I can’t see things getting much better for West Ham on Saturday either, especially given the way City are playing at the moment.

Pep Guardiola’s team are just showing no weaknesses whatsoever and they are sweeping teams aside with some outstanding football at the moment. Manchester United provided little opposition last time out and even with the International break, City seem to be able to slot back into gear as if they have been together all week.

This doesn’t bode well for a West Ham team that has done well at home against big teams this season, notably Chelsea and Man Utd, but I can’t see them getting anything from this game and my fear for Hammers fans is that they could be on the end of another heavy defeat from City.

Man City to win & both teams to score - £10 returns £26.50
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November 24, 2018
Tottenham
VS
Chelsea
Wembley
5:30 pm
Tottenham Logo
Tottenham
VS
Chelsea Logo
Chelsea
November 24, 2018
Wembley
5:30 pm
Key Stats
  • Tottenham come into the game on the back of four wins in a row, they have won nine games in the Premier League this season, the same as Liverpool and only one less than Man City.
  • Chelsea lie one place above Spurs in third place in the table and they have one point more (28). Their winning run came to an end last time out with a 0-0 draw at home to Everton.
  • Spurs have won just three of the last 19 games between the teams, though two of those three wins have come in the last four games.
  • The teams have met 160 times in total, Chelsea winning 68 matches to Spurs 52 with a total of 40 games finishing as a draw.
Analysis:

The big game of the weekend sees two London rivals clash at Wembley in what should be a cracking game between the teams ranked fourth and third in the table at present. Both sides come into the game in great form, Spurs winning their last four, Chelsea unbeaten this season in all competitions.

As such, it looks to be a real task for Tottenham to get the win here and in truth, their home form against the unbeaten teams, defeats to both Man City and Liverpool, doesn’t bode to well for them here.

That said, I think Spurs were unlucky not to draw with City and I think they are playing much better now than when they faced Liverpool earlier in the season. Chelsea though are looking confident and in great shape and in truth I cannot see them being beaten here.

That said, I think with home advantage, Spurs will feel that they need to get something from this game and while they have not enjoyed a draw this season, I think this will be the first time that the home side pick up a single point in the league this season.

Draw & both teams to score - £10 returns £44.00
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Football Tips: Sunday 25th November

November 25, 2018
Bournemouth
VS
Arsenal
Vitality Stadium
1:30 pm
Bournemouth Logo
Bournemouth
VS
Arsenal Logo
Arsenal
November 25, 2018
Vitality Stadium
1:30 pm
Key Stats
  • Arsenal lie in 5th place in the table on 24 points, having drawn four of their last five games. They are unbeaten since August.
  • Bournemouth lie 6th in the table on 20 points, but they have lost both of their last two games against Newcastle and Man United.
  • The teams have met just seven times in their history, Arsenal winning all but two of those games.
  • However, the Gunners have not won at the Vitality Stadium in either of the last two seasons, drawing 3-3 in 2017 and then losing 2-1 in January 2018.
Analysis:

This should be a cracking game on Sunday afternoon as Bournemouth, seeking to come back from two defeats in a row, face an Arsenal team who they beat in the same fixture last season and who they drew with the season before that in a 3-3 thriller.

The Gunners come into this game on a run of successive drawn matches and while they have not been beaten in that run, they know that Wolves went very close to doing so last time out and the Gunners do need to get back to winning ways as soon as possible if they want to keep pace with the top four.

However, their record at Bournemouth over the past two years isn’t great, although before that they had won all five other matches between the teams. History however will count for little on Sunday and it is likely to be which team performs the best on the day that comes out on top.

My gut feeling is the pace Arsenal have on the counter attack is going to be key here, with Bournemouth’s back line not the quickest, with Lacazette and Aubameyang primed, I fancy the visitors to sneak away with the points here.

Arsenal to win & both teams to score - £10 returns £32.00
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*Tips are exactly that tips (predictions) and do not guarantee success.

the Cheeky Punter
The Cheeky Punter is an ex professional online sports bettor and trader with over 15 years of experience in the industry. He has worked for a number of top bookmakers including Ladbrokes, William Hill and Coral. He's also written for a number of leading news outlets including the Guardian, i (newspaper) and Soccer Lens. More about him here.