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Weekend Football Tips: 27th & 28th April
by David Lenton
After good recent form, I only hit one of my selections midweek which was disappointing.
This weekend is a big one for a number of teams with the Premier League title battle still raging, while the jostling for the Champions League and Europa League qualification positions also continues.
There’s also a big battle between Brighton and Cardiff at the foot of the table for who avoids that final relegation spot alongside Huddersfield and Fulham.
It is the point of the season now where things can get a little desperate for teams and as such, that does make for drama and the occasional unusual result, which can throw a spanner in the works for a tipster.
I’m still pretty confident in the predictions below though – lets get stuck in.
Football Tips: Saturday 27th April
April 27, 2019
April 27, 2019
Both teams come into this game in good form, Everton having beaten Man Utd 4-0 at Goodison, while Palace earned a 3-2 win over Arsenal away.
Everton won the game between the teams at Goodison Park earlier in the season, late goals from Calvert-Lewin and Tosun handing the Toffee’s a 2-0 win.
Everton have lost just two of the last 13 games between the sides, winning six with there being five draws over that period. The Toffees are unbeaten in the last 8 meetings.
Everton could be without Richarlison for this game, but Lucas Digne, also injured against Manchester United, is expected to recover in time for this game.
Two teams who have been in better form of late come into this game on the back of arguably one of their best results of the season. Everton were superb in beating Manchester United 4-0 at Goodison and it could have been even better than that so dominant were the Toffees. Similarly, Palace produced another superb display against a top six side earning a richly deserved 3-2 win over Arsenal at the weekend, a scoreline which flattered the Gunners more than the Eagles.
Like many teams in the middle of the table, consistency has been a key issue for them over the course of the campaign and unfortunately form does tend to be temporary for both these teams. That said, I think of the two, Everton are showing more signs of having the chance to make this into a longer-lasting run of positive results.
However, while if they were at full-strength I may have tipped Everton to win this, the fact that Andre Gomes is suspended and Richarlison out injured I feel will have a big impact on them and rather than backing them to win, I feel the most likely outcome with both out is to be a draw between the two teams.
A win for Southampton would make them all but safe for another season, given their current goal difference advantage over Cardiff City (+18 better off).
Bournemouth have lost three of their last four, but their sole win was a 5-0 success against another south coast opponent in Brighton a fortnight ago.
The teams played out a dour 0-0 draw when they met at the Vitality Stadium back in October.
Bournemouth have a number of players missing through injury in defence including Diego Rico, Charlie Daniels, Simon Francis, Nathaniel Clyne and Adam Smith.
Since he took over as manager, I think Ralph Hassenhuttl has done a good job at Southampton. I think with a full pre-season, a couple of key signings and holding on to a couple of key players, I feel Southampton should improve on this season and could well be a mid-table team next season.
Bournemouth started the season brightly but have found being consistent a real problem. They can be brilliant one week, such as when beating Chelsea 4-0 or beating Brighton 5-0 at the AMEX Stadium, but then they are capable of producing performances that saw them lose 1-0 at home to already relegated Fulham last weekend.
That result was possibly down to a number of key defensive injuries that have left the Cherries woefully short in the full back positions, with usual central defenders Cook and Ake covering in these areas. As such, I feel that leaves a soft-centre at the heart of the Bournemouth defence and that is something Saints will want to exploit.
Shane Long grabbed the fastest ever Premier League goal against Watford in midweek and while I can’t see the Saints getting quite the same lightning start here in the south coast derby, I still feel they will do enough to land the victory.
After four wins in a row, Leicester have lost and drawn their last two games and will want to get back to winning ways.
Arsenal have lost three of their last four in the league, their only win being a single goal success away to Watford.
Arsenal were victorious when the teams met in the League back in October, Ozil and an Aubameyang double giving them a 3-1 win over the Foxes at the Emirates.
Leicester have just two wins against Arsenal in Premier League history. Eight games have been drawn while Arsenal have won the other 15 contests in the league between the two.
What has happened to Arsenal over the last few weeks? Apart from a very lucky victory at Watford, given to them by a ricochet off Aubameyang from Foster’s clearance, against a Watford side that could have had a draw despite playing for 10 minutes with 10 men, the Gunners have lost the other three Premier League games in the last four and are haemorrhaging goals at the back.
They face a Leicester side who have picked up just one point from the last six available and which will be looking forward to trying to put that right against a team who they do not have a very good record against but who, Brendan Rodgers will know, are in a very poor run of form.
The Foxes have started to look a little better under the ex-Celtic manager but they have a very tough run in and they are going to have to win some big games if they are to try and snatch a potential Europa League qualification spot for finishing seventh in the Premier League table this season.
Ordinarily, I’d have backed Arsenal here, but given their woeful form at the moment and the fact that they look so shaky defensively, I think Jamie Vardy and Neil Maddison will have a real opportunity to put them to the sword here, so instead I am going to back Leicester to win the game, but I do feel the Gunners will grab a goal in reply.
Leicester City to win & both teams to score - £10 returns £41.00
United come into this game in desperate form having lost eight of their last ten games, including all of their last three without scoring a goal.
Chelsea have lost just one of their last, away to Liverpool, and also racked up two wins over Slavia Prague in the Europa League in that period.
The teams have met twice already this season, sharing a 2-2 draw in the league in October before United earned a 2-1 victory in the FA Cup in February.
Chelsea could be without Kante and Hudson-Odoi for this game after both picked up injuries. Mauricio Sarri may be absent from the dugout after being sent to the stands against Burnley.
Manchester United fans will not have experienced a run of form like the club has endured over the last few weeks. They have lost eight of their last ten, including five of their last six games in all competitions and they are struggling to score goals, having failed to find the net in any of their last three games.
Chelsea were apparently in crisis in March, but since then the London side have steadied the ship a little. Their form is still erratic, as shown by their 2-2 draw with Burnley last weekend, but they still have Eden Hazard in sumptuous form and with United’s back line looking so weak at the moment, Hazard will be hoping to find the room to hurt United on Sunday.
United battled hard against City and their commitment was commendable but they just lacked the tactical knowhow and skill to break down their far stronger opponents. Chelsea are not as strong as City, but I feel they have the individual players on hand, even minus Kanye and Hudson Odoi through injury, to potentially win this one.
Chelsea’s record at Old Trafford is not great but I think given the form of both teams, if one team is going to win this game, then I would see it being more likely to be the Londoners than the home side, although I would expect United to finally break their scoring duck in this game at the very least.
Chelsea to win & both teams to score - £10 returns £48.00
David 'the Cheeky Punter' Lenton is an ex professional online sports bettor and trader with over 15 years of experience in the industry. He has also worked for a number of top bookmakers including Bet365, Ladbrokes, William Hill and Coral. With such a long time spent dedicated to the gambling industry no one is better placed when it comes to advising punters. Follow on Twitter @thecheekypunter