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Weekend Football Tips: 28th & 29th April
by the Cheeky Punter
I earned a tidy profit from my Champions League & Europa League tips in the week, with Liverpool duly obliging and Arsenal and Atletico Madrid playing out a 1-1 draw.
This weekend, we’re back with the Premier League and four games where I feel there is plenty up for grabs at the top and bottom of the table. I’ve avoided the Liverpool v Stoke game as I am certain Jurgen Klopp will rest key men and that could throw that result into doubt. So I have gone for matches where I feel the strongest XI will be selected and where at least one team has something to battle for, If not both teams.
Let’s hope that we can turn a decent profit this weekend and get back to winning ways with the Premier League as I have been with the Europa and Champions League of late. Here’s my football tips for the weekend.
Here’s my football tips for the Champions League and Europa League this week:
Premier League League Tips: Saturday 28th April
April 28, 2018
April 28, 2018
Burnley are seventh in the league table with 53 points from their 35 games. Two more points will guarantee them a Europa League spot next season.
Brighton are currently 13th in the table on 36 points, seven points clear of the drop zone and with a much better goal difference (-15) than teams below them.
The teams played out a 0-0 draw at Brighton in December, Glenn Murray missing a penalty for the home side in the first half.
The teams have met just 30 times previously and things are very even with 10 wins for Brighton, 11 draws and 9 wins for Burnley. Burnley last beat Brighton in April 2012.
After a fantastic run of five wins in a row, Burnley were defeated by Chelsea and then held by Stoke City last week, but I feel that Sean Dyche’s men are ready to get back to winning ways this weekend in their home game with Brighton.
The Clarets have one of the best defensive records in the Premier League and while Brighton’s defence is no pushover either, both teams have found goals difficult to come by. Add to that. Brighton’s poor recent form with no wins in their last five games and three defeats in that run, I think that makes Burnley the more confident team.
Brighton probably need three more points to be absolutely sure of safety but I cannot see them getting that here against a Burnley side who have looked very strong, especially against teams in the lower reaches of the table.
I’m backing Burnley to get another three points here but I think it will be a very closely fought game and I would not be surprised if the final result sees just the single goal separating the teams.
Huddersfield are 16th in the table, 6 points clear of the drop with 35 points from their 34 games. They have the 2nd worst goal difference in the league (-27).
Everton currently occupy 8th spot in the Premier League table although they are eight points behind Burnley in seventh and just one ahead of Leicester in 9th.
Everton beat Huddersfield 2-0 in Sam Allardyce’s first game in charge at the club back in December. Sigurdsson and Calvert-Lewin scoring the goals.
Huddersfield’s last victory over Everton came back in 1956 and Everton are unbeaten in the last eight games between the clubs, winning all of the last three.
Sam Allardyce’s reign got started at Everton with a morale-boosting win over Huddersfield at Goodison and the ex-England boss now hopes his side can continue their improved form of late with just one defeat in their last five at the John Smith’s Stadium.
However, Huddersfield boss David Wagner will know that Everton’s away form this season has, in the main, been dreadful and that this game represents a real opportunity to secure three points which could be absolutely huge in determining whether Huddersfield remain in the Premier League this season, which would be a remarkable achievement given what the club has spent since promotion.
After two losses, Huddersfield have won and drawn their last two games and I fancy them to keep that unbeaten run going here, although I can’t see them securing the three points as I think Everton have too much quality in their team to end up on the losing end here.
I think this looks dead set for a 1-1 draw, a point which will mean markedly more to Huddersfield than it will Everton if this prediction is correct.
Swansea are currently 17th in the table, just one place above the relegation zone but four points clear of Southampton. They have 33 points from their 34 games.
Chelsea are currently in 5th, they are five points behind Spurs in fourth and eight behind Liverpool in third, though they do have one game in hand on the Reds.
Chelsea defeated Swansea 1-0 at Stamford Bridge in November, Antonio Rudiger scoring the goal in a game that saw Antonio Conte sent from the bench.
The teams have met 34 times in total, Chelsea winning 16, with 11 draws and 7 wins for Swansea. Swansea have beaten Chelsea just twice since 1981.
Swansea come into this having picked up just 2 points from the last 15 available in the Premier League, while Chelsea in contrast have won all of their last three to keep their faint hopes of Champions League football alive for now.
Antonio Conte’s men will know though that winning all four of their remaining games is a must to stand any chance of that unlikely outcome and that starts at the Liberty Stadium, where Swansea have beaten the likes of Arsenal and Liverpool this season.
However, Carlos Carvajal’s team are clearly lacking confidence at the moment as their poor run of form shows and with Southampton and Stoke just one win away from breathing down their necks, the Swans will be desperate to get some points on the table quickly.
The problem they have is that they have run into a Chelsea team that seems to have found form at the right time and as such, I think the Swans will push them close, but I am backing Chelsea to get the win here.
Chelsea To Win & Both Teams To Score - £10 returns £37.50
Man Utd currently lie second in the league table with 74 points from 34 games. 16 behind Manchester City and three ahead of Liverpool.
Arsenal are currently sixth in the table with 57 points from 34 games, four points ahead of Burnley in 7th and 6 points behind Chelsea in 5th.
United prevailed winning 3-1 in the game between the teams earlier in the season at the Emirates Stadium in a game which also saw Paul Pogba sent off.
The teams have met 226 times in total in all competitions, United winning 97 games, Arsenal winning 82 and there have been just 47 draws between the teams.
I’ve picked this game because it is the biggest game of the weekend and also because that due to the circumstances that Arsenal find themselves in, combined with Manchester United’s current form, I think this in all likelihood will be a relatively easy home win for United.
The reason for that is Arsenal’s continued interest in the Europa League (barring them being subject to a thrashing from Atletico Madrid in the Emirates on Thursday). The Gunners know that this competition offers them their only hope of Champions League football next season and have been resting key men in the Premier League for a little while now.
Aubameyang may start though, as he is cup tied in the Europa League, but there could well be several fringe players playing for Arsenal and I don’t think they can afford to do that against a side as strong and talented at home as Manchester United.
United for me need the points to help secure second spot and I think after securing an FA Cup Final place, United will go one step towards securing runner’s up in the Premier League too with a solid win here.
The Cheeky Punter is an ex professional online sports bettor and trader with over 15 years of experience in the industry. He has worked for a number of top bookmakers including Ladbrokes, William Hill and Coral. He's also written for a number of leading news outlets including the Guardian, i (newspaper) and Soccer Lens. More about him here.