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Weekend Football Tips: 29th Feb & 1st March

Premier League TipsIt’s a leap year this month and so we have an additional day of February, which just so happens to come on a Saturday, so this weekend straddles both February and March.

I am going to go a little safer with my selections this weekend, to try to get some cash rolling back in and some confidence back (last weekends tips put us back a little).

With that in mind, here are my tips for three games in the Premier League this weekend plus the Carabao Cup Final on Sunday.

Football Betting Tips: Saturday 29th February

February 29, 2020
Bournemouth
VS
Chelsea
Vitality Stadium
3:00 pm
Bournemouth Logo
Bournemouth
VS
Chelsea Logo
Chelsea
February 29, 2020
Vitality Stadium
3:00 pm
Key Stats
  • Bournemouth are 16th in the table with 26 points from 27 games.
  • Chelsea lie fourth with 44 points from their 27 games.
  • Bournemouth beat Chelsea 1-0 at Stamford Bridge back in December.
  • The teams have played 16 times and there has never been a draw between the two.
Analysis:

It is strange to think that in the last five games between these two teams Bournemouth have the better record, winning three to Chelsea’s two, including both the last two games between the teams. But what is notable is that three of Bournemouth’s four wins over Chelsea in the Premier League have all come at Stamford Bridge.

Chelsea have had problems at home all season long and the truth is that Frank Lampard’s team seem better set up to pick up results on the road and in fact, that is precisely what I see them doing here against a Bournemouth side that have also struggled to pick up consistent results at home over the course of the season.

The Cherries do have some good players and ultimately, I think they will do enough to remain in the division for next season and avoid the drop, but I think while they may well score a goal against Chelsea for their home fans to enjoy, I can’t quite see it being enough

For me this has the hallmarks of a 2-1 win to Chelsea written large all over it and as such, I am backing both teams to score but Chelsea to come out on top ultimately.

Chelsea to win & both teams to score - £10 returns £35.00
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March 1, 2020
Everton
VS
Man Utd
Goodison Park
2:00 pm
Everton Logo
Everton
VS
Man Utd Logo
Man Utd
March 1, 2020
Goodison Park
2:00 pm
Key Stats
  • Everton are 11th in the table after losing 3-2 at Arsenal last week.
  • Man Utd have moved into 5th in the table on 41 points. 3 behind Chelsea.
  • United lost this fixture 4-0 last season and drew 1-1 with Everton back in December.
  • Prior to those two games United had won six of the last eight between the teams.
Analysis:

Both these teams have seen their form improve a little of late, but both have also been set back by some poor results along the way. It is also fair to suggest that both Everton and United would have expected better performances from themselves over the course of the Premier League season so far.

Of the two teams, I think it is Everton who have made the more stunning progress. United’s has been stop/start under Solskjaer for 12 months now and they seem to take two steps forward and then two steps back. In contrast, since taking over, Ancelotti seems to have had a positive impact at Everton and they are definitely moving forward.

Goodison Park is also a very tough place to go and get a result with the home fans right behind the team as they have been in recent weeks and although United’s form has improved over the last few games, they have done this before and then gone down to an unexpected defeat and I fear that this could be the case here.

I do see both teams scoring a goal, but I think it will be the Evertonians in the crowd that will be happiest come the final whistle.

Everton to win & both teams to score - £10 returns £50.00
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Football Predictions: Sunday 1st March

March 1, 2020
Tottenham
VS
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
2:00 pm
Tottenham Logo
Tottenham
VS
Wolverhampton Wanderers Logo
Wolverhampton Wanderers
March 1, 2020
Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
2:00 pm
Key Stats
  • Tottenham lie 6th in the table with 40 points from 27 games. (+8 GD).
  • Wolves are 8th with 39 points from their 27 games (+6 goal difference).
  • Tottenham won 2-1 at Molineux when the teams met in December.
  • The away team has won five of the last 7 games between the teams.
Analysis:

It’s quite unusual to see a fixture where recent history has been dominated by the away team, but this is just such a game. Spurs have won on three of their last four visits to Molineux while Wolves have won two and drawn one of their last four away to Spurs.

There are a couple of other things to consider here and that is the lack of firepower available to Jose Mourinho at the moment with both Son and Harry Kane out injured. That has had a clear impact on Spurs goal threat and as such, I cannot see them scoring too many goals.

Wolves though have a man in form in Diego Jota and I can see them at least getting on the scoresheet in this game, although I do feel Tottenham have tightened up at the back in the last few weeks or so.

I was tempted to go with a Wolves win here, but with 12 draws already this season for Wolves, plus seven for Spurs, I feel that this game is primed for the points to be split between the teams.

Draw - £10 returns £32.00
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Carabao Cup Final Tips: Aston Villa v Man City

March 1, 2020
Aston Villa
VS
Man City
Wembley
4:30 pm
Aston Villa Logo
Aston Villa
VS
Man City Logo
Man City
March 1, 2020
Wembley
4:30 pm
Key Stats
  • Villa beat Crewe, Brighton, Wolves, Liverpool and Leicester to reach the final.
  • Man City beat Preston, Southampton, Oxford and Man Utd to reach the final.
  • A win for City would be their third Carabao Cup win in a row, their 5th in 7 years.
  • City have won all the last four between the teams, scoring 17, conceding just 1.
Analysis:

A quick look at the last few fixtures between these two teams sees Man City winning 7 of the 8 games, the other finishing in a 0-0 draw in 2016, City scoring 26 goals in those games, Villa mustering just three in total across eight games. Furthermore, this season, City have beaten Villa 3-0 at the Etihad and then 6-1 at Villa Park back in January.

Whatever way you look at it, the odds are hugely stacked against Aston Villa and truth be told, even though these teams are in the same division, if Villa win it would be one of the big upsets in this competition’s history.

City do give Villa fans hope in that they have struggled at times this season, losing six games in the league and looking less than stellar at times. However, their form when they play well has been excellent and they always look liable to score goals.

Neither of these teams are the best defensively and I can see goals at both ends, I just feel that the large majority of them will be going into Aston Villa’s net.

Man City to win & over 4.5 Goals - £10 returns £35.00
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Author: David Lenton

David Lenton
David 'the Cheeky Punter' Lenton is an ex professional online sports bettor and trader with over 15 years of experience in the industry. He has also worked for a number of top bookmakers including Bet365, Ladbrokes, William Hill and Coral. With such a long time spent dedicated to the gambling industry no one is better placed when it comes to advising punters. Follow on Twitter @thecheekypunter