Weekend Football Tips: 2nd & 3rd December

Football Tips & PredictionsLast weekend saw us post a solid profit on Sunday as we landed both tips at decent prices.

We bricked our midweek tips though, which ended our winning streak, but I’m confident we can get back on track with this weekends footbal tips and predictions.

This time of the year has traditionally been good for me, in the build up to and over the xmas period, and I see no reason why this year will be any different, starting with this set of tips for games taking place this weekend on Saturday and Sunday in the Premier League.

Football Betting Tips: Saturday 2nd December

December 2, 2017
Stoke
VS
Swansea
Bet365 Stadium
3:00 pm
Stoke Logo
Stoke
VS
Swansea Logo
Swansea
December 2, 2017
Bet365 Stadium
3:00 pm
Key Stats
  • Stoke lie 16th in the League table with 13 points from 14 games. They have won one and drawn two of their last six, but have also lost their last two games.
  • Swansea have picked up just one point from the last 18 available and scored just once in those six games. They are currently 19th in the league table.
  • The Swans have scored just seven goals in their 19 League Games, a low for the division, although they have also conceded just 16 (fewer than Liverpool).
  • Stoke have conceded 29 goals in their 14 games, the second most in the division behind West Ham.
Analysis:

It’s fair to say that both these sides have disappointed a great deal this season, especially Stoke City who find themselves perilously close to that drop zone, while their opponents today are firmly inside it.

Mark Hughes has definitely got the better squad of the two but his leaky defence is shipping goals at an alarming rate at times, but they should not be unduly tested by Swansea’s strikers who have found the net just seven times in the League this season.

The Swans defence has been decent, but the problem is if the opposition score just once against them, that is usually enough for the win and with the likes of Peter Crouch in the squad and some talented players like Shaqiri, I think Stoke will find the net here and as such, I find it hard to make a case for Swansea to grab a point.

So I’m backing Stoke’s porous back line to keep a rare clean sheet against a shot-shy Swansea and for the home side to emerge with a narrow 1-0 or 2-0 win.

Stoke To Win To Nil - £10 returns £31.00
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December 2, 2017
West Brom
VS
Crystal Palace
Hawthorns
3:00 pm
West Brom Logo
West Brom
VS
Crystal Palace Logo
Crystal Palace
December 2, 2017
Hawthorns
3:00 pm
Key Stats
  • Both sides have new managers since the start of the season, Roy Hodgson at Palace and Alan Pardew has been newly installed as West Brom manager.
  • The Baggies stopped a streak of losing matches by drawing their last two games 1-1 at Spurs at the weekend and then 2-2 at home to Newcastle in midweek.
  • Palace have now lost just once in their last five, with three draws and a single win in that run. However, they are still to score a goal away from home this season.
  • Palace lie bottom of the Premier League table on goal difference from Swansea with West Brom in a precarious 17th position, one spot outside the relegation zone.
Analysis:

This is a tough game to call on paper. Palace are the form side of the two and their new manager has been in post longer and has had more time to get across his ideas (and to be fair to Roy Hodgson, they seem to be working well as Palace are crawling their way off the foot of the table slowly).

But the one stat that niggles me is that Palace have not scored on the road at all this season and that is a massive concern against a West Brom side that are relatively strong defensively, but who have struggled in front of goal themselves at times this season, netting just 12 times in 14 games.

However, rather like the Stoke – Swansea game above, I see this as a game where if West Brom get one goal, as I think they will, then they will end up winning the game as I can’t see Palace scoring against a decent Baggies back line, especially when you factor in the new manager effect on the home side.

As such, I think Alan Pardew will arrest his sides run of matches without a win by claiming their first win in 13 games here, but I think it will be by just the one single goal to nil.

West Brom To Win To Nil - £10 returns £39.00
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December 2, 2017
Arsenal
VS
Man Utd
Emirates Stadium
5:30 pm
Arsenal Logo
Arsenal
VS
Man Utd Logo
Man Utd
December 2, 2017
Emirates Stadium
5:30 pm
Key Stats
  • Arsenal and Manchester United have identical records over the past five games, winning three and losing two (some in European competition).
  • United lie second on 32 points from 14 games while Arsenal have 28 points from 14. A win for Arsenal here will move them to one point behind United.
  • United’s last win at the Emirates came back in November 2014, with a 2-1 victory over the Gunners in the Premier League. Arsenal have won the 2 Premier League games since.
  • Jose Mourinho has not won any of his last 11 away league games against the ‘big six’ in the Premier League, drawing five and losing six of those games.
Analysis:

Historically, matches between Jose Mourinho and Arsene Wenger teams have seen the Portuguese manager come off the better, but in their last four games, Arsene Wenger has won twice, with one draw and one loss for the Gunners boss.

Arsenal are in good form at the moment and a 5-0 midweek thrashing of Huddersfield will have them confident of inflicting a third home Premier League defeat in a row on United. For United, nothing less than a win will do given how Manchester City are performing at the moment and they too are in good form in the Premier League, winning their last three.

Man City’s league form has made this a win-or-bust game but I feel that with so much at stake, it will be a tight affair. Jose Mourinho won’t play an expansive game here and as such, I think he will try and strangle the game. United did that well at Liverpool a few weeks back, and I think they can do it here.

That said, I do feel both sides will find the net, I just can’t see how either of them can do quite enough to win the game and as such, I think a draw is the sensible selection here.

Draw - £10 returns £34.00
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Football Tips: Sunday 3rd December

December 3, 2017
Bournemouth
VS
Southampton
Vitality Stadium
1:30 pm
Bournemouth Logo
Bournemouth
VS
Southampton Logo
Southampton
December 3, 2017
Vitality Stadium
1:30 pm
Key Stats
  • Bournemouth come into this game in 15th place in the league table on 14 points, while Southampton are two points above in 11th.
  • Historically this south coast derby has not been played too often, and last season the game finished in a 3-1 victory for Southampton.
  • The teams have played 25 times in total, Southampton winning 12 games, Bournemouth seven and there have been six draws.
  • Bournemouth have lost four times at home this season, all against top half teams; Watford, Burnley, Manchester City and Chelsea.
Analysis:

This is another tough game to call but I think it offers better odds and possibilities than the Man City game, which looks a nailed on home win at massively small odds. Both these sides form has been up and down this season and with it being a derby game too, that throws added confusion into the mixture.

The Saints thumped Everton at the weekend and almost grabbed a draw at Man City, so they will be confident heading into this game, especially having won the same fixture 3-1 last season in impressive fashion.

However, of the two sides, I think Bournemouth are the more coinsistent and I think they will feel a return of 7 points from their last four games, including a 4-0 win at home to Huddersfield, is a decent return. I think that confidence from that win at home last time around will be key here.

This will be close and I do see both teams scoring here in what I think could well be an entertaining 1-1 or 2-2 draw.

Draw - £10 returns £32.50
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*Tips are exactly that tips (predictions) and do not guarantee success.

the Cheeky Punter

the Cheeky Punter

The Cheeky Punter is an professional online sports bettor and trader with over 15 years of experience in the industry. He has worked for a number of top bookmakers including Ladbrokes, William Hill and Coral. He's also written for a number of leading news outlets including the Guardian, i (newspaper) and Soccer Lens. More about him here.
the Cheeky Punter

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wow
robert
December 1, 2017

stoke vs ac milan wow what a game lol

    the Cheeky Punter
    December 2, 2017

    Mistakes were made – not sure I’d predict the same result if it was.

some mistake
musa sapientum
December 1, 2017

wooow its stoke against Swansea not AC milan

    the Cheeky Punter
    December 2, 2017

    Haha – I’ve fixed it now!

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