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Weekend Football Tips: 3rd & 4th March
by the Cheeky Punter
There is a massive weekend of Premier League action to enjoy this weekend and below, as usual, are my thoughts and suggest football tips.
I had a solid return last weekend as two of my biggest tips both came in with Burnley and Southampton drawing plus Manchester United beating Chelsea but both teams finding the net.
I feel like the weather is going to play a part in this round of fixtures and it should be interesting to see what kind of pitch conditions we end up with.
Here are my weekend football betting tips for Saturday 3rd and Sunday 4th March:
Football Tips: Saturday 3rd March
March 3, 2018
March 3, 2018
Burnley are 7th in the Premier League table whereas Everton are 9th. Burnley have three more points than their opponents today so they could tie level.
Burnley have gone 12 league games without a win, their last coming against Stoke back in November, though they have drawn 3 of their last 4.
Everton have won just one away game all season and have the third worst away record in the Premier League behind West Brom and Stoke City.
Burnley have a league low of just 10 league goals at home this season, but they have conceded just 11 at home. Only five teams have a better record than that.
Burnley's home record this season isn't hugely impressive in terms of goals scored or matches won, 10 goals means that only 5 games have been winners at Turf Moor, but they have only conceded 11 goals in what has been a Herculean defensive effort at times this season.
Sean Dyche makes no apologies for making his Burnley team tough to break down and with the players he has at his disposal, the job he has done has been remarkable. However, Burnley are now on a run of 12 games without a win, which must be a real concern for him.
Everton are blowing hot and cold at the moment under Sam Allardyce. Good wins at Goodison against Leicester and Crystal Palace have been followed by poor away defeats and his shot-shy team, especially on the road, seem to have real trouble scoring goals away from Goodison.
I was tempted to go for a Burnley 1-0 home win here, but that long run without a win puts me off the Clarets winning this, so instead I am backing the draw, most likely 0-0, at decent odds.
Swansea ocupy 18th position in the table, five places below West Ham in 13th, the Hammers are just 3 points better off than Swansea.
The Swans have the fourth worst homer record in the Premier League, taking just 17 points of those available, they'll be looking to improve.
West Ham are ranked 13th in the Premier league for away form, but have amassed just two wins from their 15 away games this season (5 draws, 8 defeats).
A last minute goal from Diafra Sakho gave West Ham a 1-0 win over Swansea when the two teams met in the Premier League back in September.
These teams go into this game on the back of 4-1 away defeats, Swansea at Brighton and West Ham at Liverpool. Confidence won't be too high for either team as a result, but the Swans have proved to be a different proposition at home under Carlos Carvaljo.
David Moyes will be frustrated at his sides inability to string a run of positive results together, the Hammers move up the table seemingly towards safety, only to lose a couple of games and be dragged right back into the relegation battle. Although to be fair, they are just one of many sides in the same boat at the moment.
What is true is that when West Ham lose a game, they have tended to bounce back with a positive result, either a win or a draw and it is also worth noting that the defeat at Brighton was Swansea's first in six games.
I was tempted with a home win here, but something tells me David Moyes has the knowhow to get a job done here against a Swansea team that don't score too many. I think a 1-1 draw is the likeliest outcome.
Liverpool currently lie third in the Premier League on 57 points. Their opponents lie 15th with 29 points from 28 games so far.
Liverpool's home record is just the fifth best in the Premier League, but they are unbeaten at Anfield this season (8 wins, 6 draws).
Newcastle's haul of 13 points away from home has them ranked 10th best for away form in the Premier league this season.
The teams drew 1-1 at St James' Park earlier in the season.
The reverse fixture between these teams at St James' Park saw one of the oddest goals of the season when Joel Matip's attempted tackle rebounded of Newcastle striker Joselu past Simon Mignolet and into the net to hand the home side what proved to be a draw.
It was a game Klopp's men should have won easily after they dominated the ball and wasted plenty of chances in front of goal. They have had similar issues in some games at Anfield this season too, where they have drawn six of their 14 games, and they will be eager to avoid a repeat against the Toon Army here.
It will be a nice return to Anfield for Rafa Benitez who remains a firm favourite with both sets of fans but Jurgen Klopp will be hoping his terrible trio in attack will give the Newcastle manager too many problems to solve against his former club.
Newcastle don't score much away from home, but Liverpool do have a tendency to let teams in at least once in games, so I am backing Newcastle to score, but I think Liverpool win this 3-1.
Liverpool to win & both teams to score - £10 returns £26.50
Man City are top of the table, while Chelsea lie fifth on 53 points, 19 points behind City with a mountain to climb to catch them (which they won't).
The teams met back in September at Stamford Bridge when a fine strike from Kevin De Bruyne against his former club handed City a 1-0 win.
City have the best home record in the Premier League amassing 40 points from the 42 available at home this season.
Chelsea have the third best away record in the Premier League behind Man City and Liverpool, earning 24 points from their 14 games on the road so far this season.
Chelsea players must be wondering what they have done to upset the football gods as in between two matches home and away against Barcelona in the Champions League, they have had to face both Manchester clubs away from home.
The Blues were defeated at Old Trafford last weekend 2-1, despite taking the lead through the excellent Willian and the pressure is on Antonio Conte after his side slipped out of the top four on the back of that defeat.
However, the Etihad Stadium is not the place to go looking for points. Only Everton have earned a point there this season in a 1-1 draw in August and in the Premier League, City have looked pretty much invincible at home.
The one positive for Chelsea is that this game comes at a busy time for City with a game on Thursday preceding this but even so, while I can see Chelsea grabbing a goal, I do think that City will be far too strong on the day. I'm backing City to win this probably 2-1 or 3-1.
Man City To Win & Both Teams To Score - £10 returns £31.50
The Cheeky Punter is an ex professional online sports bettor and trader with over 15 years of experience in the industry. He has worked for a number of top bookmakers including Ladbrokes, William Hill and Coral. He's also written for a number of leading news outlets including the Guardian, i (newspaper) and Soccer Lens. More about him here.