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Weekend Football Tips: 3rd & 4th November

Premier League TipsLast weekends football betting tips were slight losers overall with £10 stakes being down -£6.70, not a big dent but one I’d like to rectify with my predictions for this week.

I am confident that I can pick up some more profit this weekend with what looks like an enticing selection of games to pick from.

The big game of the weekend sees Arsenal take on Liverpool in what should be a cracker, but there’s big games also for the bottom two Huddersfield and Newcastle, who are both seeking their first wins of the season, as well as what look like home bankers for Chelsea and Manchester City on Sunday.

So, without any further ado, here’s my tips for this weekend’s matches.

Football Betting Tips: Saturday 3rd November

November 3, 2018
Bournemouth
VS
Man Utd
Vitality Stadium
12:30 pm
Bournemouth Logo
Bournemouth
VS
Man Utd Logo
Man Utd
November 3, 2018
Vitality Stadium
12:30 pm
Key Stats
  • Bournemouth are 6th in the Premier League with 20 points from their 10 games. Scoring 19 goals and conceding 12 in the process.
  • Manchester United lie 8th in the league with 17 points from their 10. They have scored and conceded the same number of goals, 17.
  • United have won four of the last five games between the two teams in the Premier League drawing the other.
  • The teams have played just 14 times in all competitions, United winning 9 matches, Bournemouth two and three draws. The last Bournemouth win coming in December 2015.
Analysis:

This is a tough one to call, Bournemouth have been the more consistent performer in the League this season, but I think United have come through their wobbly spell, despite not playing particularly great football. Some of their best performances this season have been on the road (Watford away and Chelsea away in particular) and I think that we will see a similar performance here.

Bournemouth though are no mugs and after a good win in the Carabao Cup in midweek, Eddie Howe’s men will be itching to get their first win over United since 2015, when they won on home soil in the Premier League.

While Bournemouth are the stronger team unit, I feel individually, United have a far stronger team and much greater quality in that crucial attacking third. As such, I can see Bournemouth’s defence being really tested here, especially with Martial looking in fine form at the moment and as such, I am backing United to come away with a narrow win.

Manchester United to win - £10 returns £20.50
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November 3, 2018
Arsenal
VS
Liverpool
Emirates
5:30 pm
Arsenal Logo
Arsenal
VS
Liverpool Logo
Liverpool
November 3, 2018
Emirates
5:30 pm
Key Stats
  • After losing their opening two games, Arsenal then won 11 games in a row, that run ending last week in a 2-2 draw with Palace.
  • The Gunners lie in fourth spot in the Premier League with 22 points from 10 games, having scored 24 goals and conceding 13.
  • Liverpool are unbeaten in the Premier League and lie 2nd on goal difference to Manchester City. They have 26 points, having scored 20 goals and conceded just four this season.
  • This will be the 225th clash between the teams. Liverpool winning 86 games to Arsenal’s 78 and 60 of the previous matches have been drawn.
Analysis:

The last six games between these teams has produced an average of 5.4 goals per game and the last ten games sees an average of 4.7 goals per game, what is abundantly clear then is that when Liverpool meet Arsenal, goals tend to get scored.

However, despite that, I think the improvement in Liverpool’s defence of late means that even Arsenal’s freescoring attack are going to find things very tough, especially with the Reds able to rest players in midweek ahead of the game, while Arsenal played Blackpool in the Carabao Cup.

Add to that the injuries Arsenal have to key defenders for this game, plus Guendouzi now being suspended for the match following his sending off against Blackpool and the fact Liverpool’s attack seems to be getting back to its top form and I think the Reds will snatch a rare win on Arsenal’s home patch on Saturday.

Liverpool to win - £10 returns £20.50
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November 3, 2018
Wolverhampton Wanderers
VS
Tottenham
Molineux
7:45 pm
Wolverhampton Wanderers Logo
Wolverhampton Wanderers
VS
Tottenham Logo
Tottenham
November 3, 2018
Molineux
7:45 pm
Key Stats
  • After a solid start, Wolves have lost their last two league games to lie 10th in the table with 15 points from 10 games. They have scored and conceded 9 goals.
  • Spurs have won seven and lost three of their ten games to amass 21 points and lie fifth in the table. They have scored 16 goals in those games, conceding eight.
  • Dele Alli and Christian Eriksen are both close to a return to full fitness for Tottenham after missing several games through injury.
  • The teams have met 93 times previously, Spurs winning 46 of those games to Wolves’ 27 with 20 matches ending as draws.
Analysis:

Tottenham come into this game knowing that they need to get back to winning ways after their 1-0 home loss to Manchester City on Monday. In truth, it was a game Spurs should have got a point from as they wasted a couple of great chances to pull themselves level in the game.

Wolves started the season very well but they have lost both of their last two games and I think that has hit their confidence a little. I still feel they will be well safe this season, but I think this is a tough game for the home team to try and get back to winning ways.

I am still not sold on Spurs defensively at the moment but I think the return of the likes of Alli and Erikssen really adds an extra dimension to their attack and as such, I think that the visitors will likely grab the points here in what is a rare Saturday evening match.

Tottenham to win - £10 returns £22.50
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Football Tips: Sunday 4th November

November 4, 2018
Chelsea
VS
Crystal Palace
Stamford Bridge
7:45 pm
Chelsea Logo
Chelsea
VS
Crystal Palace Logo
Crystal Palace
November 4, 2018
Stamford Bridge
7:45 pm
Key Stats
  • Chelsea are third in the league with 24 points from 10 games & they remain unbeaten this season, scoring 24 goals and conceding 7.
  • Crystal Palace are 14th in the table at present with 8 points from 10 games, scoring just seven goals and conceding 13 in those games.
  • Palace have actually won two of the last three and three of the last six matches between the teams. All Palace’s wins in that period have been by a 2-1 scoreline.
  • The teams have met a total of 52 times in their history, Chelsea having won 25 of those games, Palace with 12 wins and 15 matches have finished in draws.
Analysis:

I felt Crystal Palace were somewhat unfortunate to only earn a draw at home to Arsenal last weekend as the Gunners second goal was a clear hand ball and should not have stood. Palace did well in that game and showed plenty of attacking prowess at times, although they are still wasteful in front of goal.

However, this is a very tough match to follow on from that. Chelsea are flying at the moment and in the Premier League in particular, they look almost unbeatable at home. With Eden Hazard and several others rested in midweek in their Carabao Cup win over Derby, they should be fully raring to go on Sunday.

As such, I think this is a game that the home side will win and win well, despite Palace having a decent record against them in recent times. I’d expect Chelsea to grab at least two or three goals in this one and I’d be surprised if Palace, with their strikers so profligate in front of goal, can find the net here.

Chelsea to win to nil - £10 returns £21.50
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*Tips are exactly that tips (predictions) and do not guarantee success.

the Cheeky Punter
The Cheeky Punter is an ex professional online sports bettor and trader with over 15 years of experience in the industry. He has worked for a number of top bookmakers including Ladbrokes, William Hill and Coral. He's also written for a number of leading news outlets including the Guardian, i (newspaper) and Soccer Lens. More about him here.