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Weekend Football Tips: 4th & 5th July

Author: Published: July 3, 2020

Premier League TipsWe didn’t have any winners in the games this week, but once again, we have run things pretty close in at least a couple.

Regardless it’s frustrating as it’s once step forward two back at the moment.

However, I’ve been in this long enough to realise that this is how things go sometimes. The only thing to do is to tuck these narrow misses away in the memory banks and come back stronger with the next set of bets and that is what I aim to do with this selection of games for the weekend.

We have nine games across Saturday and Sunday (Spurs take on Everton in the Monday night game to conclude Matchday 33) and I have picked four I feel have a great chance of coming in for me in the selections below.

Football Predictions: Saturday 4th July

Leicester VS Crystal Palace
04/07/2020 3:00 pm GMT

Key Stats

Leicester remain third, but Chelsea, Man Utd & Wolves are closing the gap.
Palace have dropped to 12th in the back of two straight defeats.
Historically both teams have won 27 times against each other, with 18 draws.
Leicester have won just one of the last five against Palace (2-0 in Nov 2019).

Analysis

I have to be honest and say that Leicester are not filling me with a great deal of confidence at the moment. They were perhaps a little unlucky to draw with Watford, but I felt Brighton were the better team in the other draw they had, and against Chelsea and Everton, for long stretches of both games, they were second best.

However, against Everton, we saw a far more potent Leicester performance in the second half and I do feel they should have taken a point from that game. Brendan Rogers will be demanding that level of performance against a Palace side who Leicester have a very poor recent record against.

That said, Roy Hodgson’s team have been poor in their last two games, losing both and I think they do look like they have lost their way a little. Goals and confidence are in short supply and I think Leicester can use that to their advantage to claim a win here. I am not confident that Palace will find the net in this game either, so my tip is to back Leicester to win to nil, probably by a 1-0 or 2-0 scoreline.

Prediction

Leicester City to win to nil - £10 returns £26.30
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Wolverhampton Wanderers VS Arsenal
04/07/2020 5:30 pm GMT

Key Stats

Wolves are 6th n the Premier League table with 52 points from 32 games.
Arsenal are 7th in the table, but have just 46 points from their 32 games.
There of the last five games between the teams were draws with one win each.
Wolves sole win in this fixture since 1980 came last season in a 3-1 win at home in April.

Analysis

The league table suggests that these two teams are fierce rivals in the table, but in truth, Wolves have been excellent this season, while Arsenal have largely been poor and it is only the lack of form shown by sides around them that has seen them elevated up to seventh in the table following a 4-0 win over Norwich in midweek.

The Gunners are showing signs of progress under Mikel Arteta, but it is clear that the team is still a long way from what the Spaniard would like, especially defensively where they still look extremely vulnerable.

In contrast, after a slow start, Wolves have had a superb season and deservedly sit in the top six and in with a real chance of claiming a Champions League qualifying spot for next season. They have a potent duo in attack in Raul Jiminez and Adama Traore, while defensively they are solid and with a creative midfield, they can give any team a real threat.

I can see Arsenal grabbing a goal here, but I am confident Wolves will take the win, either by a 2-1 or 3-1 scoreline on the evening.

Prediction

Wolves to win and both teams to score - £10 returns £47.50
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Football Tips: Sunday 5th July

Burnley VS Sheffield United
05/07/2020 12:00 pm GMT

Key Stats

Burnley are 9th in the table with 45 points from their 32 games.
Sheff Utd play Thursday night. At the time of writing they have 44 points from 31 games.
Burnley have won four of the last six between the teams going back to 2008.
However, Sheff Utd were 3-0 winners when the teams met in November 2019.

Analysis

Burnley didn’t get off to a great start post-lockdown when they were thrashed by Manchester City 5-0, but since then Sean Dyche’s admirable team have dug out two 1-0 victories to move themselves back into the top half of the table, which is a fantastic achievement.

Chris Wilder’s Sheffield United had been flying and were as high as 5th in the table until recently, but they have come unstuck a little after the restart, picking up just one point from their three games and being eliminated from the FA Cup at the weekend by Arsenal. The Blades do seem to have lost their way a little recently.

In recent times, Burnley have had much the better of this fixture, but Sheffield United ended a run of five games without a win by winning 3-0 at home back in November, but I think Chris Wilder’s team will find this trip across the Pennines a little more daunting.

This will be a tight, hard-fought, Lancaster v Yorkshire battle and while I think Burnley have the edge in form, Sheff Utd seldom have too many defeats in a row and I can see them doing enough to secure a draw here either by a 0-0 or 1-1 scoreline.

Prediction

Draw - £10 returns £30.00
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Newcastle United VS West Ham
05/07/2020 2:15 pm GMT

Key Stats

Since the restart Newcastle have picked up 7 points from 9 to lie 13th in the table.
West Ham are 16th after their 3-2 win over Chelsea in midweek on 30 points.
None of the last 11 games between the teams has finished in a draw.
Newcastle have won five of the last seven games between the teams.

Analysis

Of all the teams in the Premier League, I think the one that has come back from the shutdown in the most impressive form outside of the top two has been Newcastle. Admittedly, they were eliminated from the FA Cup at the weekend, but in the league they were a fortunate injury time equalising goal for Aston Villa away from picking up nine points out of nine.

Most impressively, the shot shy Geordies have also scored 8 goals across those two games, conceding just two and they will come into this game against a West Ham side still struggling against the drop in an excellent frame of mind and with good form behind them.

After a slow start after the restart, West Ham recorded a massively important 3-2 win over Chelsea in midweek, a result which saw them climb out of the relegation zone and up to 16th in the table. David Moyes men put on a fine display in that game and the ex-Everton and Man Utd boss will want the same again here.

That said, the Hammers lack of consistency has been their big issue all season and that is precisely what Newcastle seem to have found, so I am backing the home side to claim the win in this one.

Prediction

Newcastle United to win - £10 returns £27.00
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*Tips are exactly that tips (predictions) and do not guarantee success.

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