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Weekend Football Tips: 5th & 6th October
by David Lenton
What a fantastic weekend of results we had last time out in the Premier League. Had Watford scored a goal in defeat at Wolves, I would have landed a full house, but as it was, I landed three out of the four tips bang on the money.
Rather satisfyingly, I landed exactly £100 in winnings from those three tips last weekend, which meant a massive profit over the weekend, to add to the healthy profit that I have already banked from the games over the start of the season.
This weekend is the last set of Premier League fixtures before we embark on another international break. We will be bringing you some tips for those games next week, but first of all, let’s see if we can replicate last week’s success with this selection of four games across Saturday and Sunday in the Premier League this weekend.
Football Tips: Saturday 21st September
October 5, 2019
October 5, 2019
Burnley have one defeat in their last five games. They lie 11th in the table.
Everton have lost four of their last five. They are 15th in the table.
There has not been a draw between these two sides since August 1975 (11 games).
The last six games between the teams have seen three wins apiece.
The spoils have been shared equally in the last six games between these two teams, although last season it was Everton who had the advantage, winning both league games, but the year before it was Burnley who landed two victories. Everton won 5-1 here last season and they would love a win like that this time around but the Toffees are in a poor run of form.
Marco Silva is under real pressure having spent heavily on his squad in the summer and in contrast, Burnley spent less but have started this season more brightly than last under Sean Dyche and for me, they are the form team coming into this game.
Add to that home advantage, which is a big plus for Burnley against an Everton side which has struggled on the road over the last 18 months or so and my gut feeling is that this is going to be another difficult afternoon for the visitors and while I do not expect them to go down easily, I do still feel that Burnley will emerge as the victors come the end of the game.
However, I feel there won’t be too many goals in this one, so I am going to play it safe and just back a Burnley win here.
Norwich’s have lost four of their last five. They occupy 17th in the table.
Villa lie 18th picking up just 2 points from their last four games.
Norwich have won all of the last 3 games between the teams.
Norwich won both matches in the Championship last season by the same 2-1 scoreline.
Norwich City may well have beaten Manchester City this season but that win was their only one in their last five games and it has seen Daniel Farke’s team drop down the league to just 17th in the table, one place above the drop zone where Aston Villa currently sit in 18th.
Defence has been the issue for Norwich with far too many goals conceded, especially on the road where they have looked particularly susceptible at times. In contrast, Villa have looked stronger at the back but have found scoring goals more of a problem with their big striker Wesley taking time to settle in.
Having won both the matches between the teams by a 2-1 scoreline last season, it would not surprise me in the slightest if that was to be the end result here. I think Norwich’s attack have the capability of breaching the Villa back line at least a couple of times, but I am also confident that Villa’s attack should get some joy against a leaky Norwich defence.
Norwich City to win & both teams to score - £10 returns £37.50
Saints are 14th in the table after losing their last two EPL games.
Chelsea moved up to 7th this weekend, winning three of their last 5 matches.
Southampton have won one of the last 13 games between the teams.
Chelsea have won 7 of the last 8 games between the teams.
If you look at the historical record between the two teams, then you would think that this should be something of a walkover win for Chelsea. They have won seven of the last eight between the teams, a sequence that was only ended by a 0-0 draw between the teams towards the end of last season.
In addition, Southampton come into this game having lost their last two Premier League matches and with some worryingly inconsistent performances. Ralph Hassenhutl though does have a tendency to get the best from his team against the bigger opponents as they showed in a narrow defeat to Liverpool and a battling draw with 10 men against Manchester United.
Chelsea do look capable of scoring plenty of goals against most teams, but I feel this game comes on the back of a tough trip to Lille in France in the Champions League and as such, with the Saints fully rested up for this game, I do fancy them to get something from the match, only I can’t quite see them doing enough to win the game.
Newcastle are 19th in the table with just one win in their 7 games this season.
United have won just one of their last five EPL games. They are 10th in the table.
Isaac Hayden will be suspended for Newcastle following his red card at Leicester.
Newcastle have won just 2 of the last 13 between the teams. United winning 9.
In days gone by, this fixture used to be one of the must-watch games of the Premier League season and often in the early days of the competition, it would be between the two teams most likely to win it. However, both sides have fallen on harder times since then, although the fixture remains an eye-catching one in the season.
Newcastle come into this game in miserable form on the back of a 5-0 drubbing at Leicester City where their performance was probably even worse than the result. United though are hardly faring much better, without a win on the road since March and struggling to score goals at home or away from home.
Defensively both these sides are relatively solid, despite the scoreline last week for Newcastle, so I don’t expect many goals to be scored here and in truth it may only take one goal either way to win the game, and I feel that it is Manchester United who are by far the most likely to get it.
Manchester United to win to nil - £10 returns £31.00
David 'the Cheeky Punter' Lenton is an ex professional online sports bettor and trader with over 15 years of experience in the industry. He has also worked for a number of top bookmakers including Bet365, Ladbrokes, William Hill and Coral. With such a long time spent dedicated to the gambling industry no one is better placed when it comes to advising punters. Follow on Twitter @thecheekypunter