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Weekend Football Tips: 8th & 9th February

Premier League TipsNot the best weekend last time out (-£4.00 overall) with the result from Old Trafford our only highlight.

We had a couple of near misses in the first two games, especially the Watford v Everton result, which I had pegged as a draw, so the Toffee’s last minute winner cost me a very nice profit over the course of the weekend. Cheers for that Theo!

Still, with only a very small loss of a couple of quid, I’m back at it this weekend feeling good.

It’s the mid-season break for teams in the Premier League and that means that there are just four games being played across Saturday and Sunday, which does tend to limit us with our selections this week, so I apologise in advance if the lack of options means I have to go with some shorter odds selections than I normally would.

Football Betting Tips: Saturday 8th February

February 8, 2020
Everton
VS
Crystal Palace
Goodison Park
12:30 pm
Everton Logo
Everton
VS
Crystal Palace Logo
Crystal Palace
February 8, 2020
Goodison Park
12:30 pm
Key Stats
  • Everton lie 9th with 33 points, Crystal Palace are 14th with 30 points.
  • The teams have met 50 times, Everton have 20 wins, Palace 13 & 17 draws.
  • Six of the last nine matches between the two have finished as draws.
  • Palace have not beaten Everton since September 2014 (a 3-2 win at Goodison).
Analysis:

Neither of these teams have been particularly prolific, with Palace scoring the fewest goals of any team in the Premier League, but also conceding just 29 (the same as the two Manchester clubs) Everton have scored more goals (31) but also conceded more (37), but I feel of the two, the Toffees are starting to make strides in the right direction under Carlo Ancelotti.

However, it also has to be said that this progress has not been uniform and there have been setbacks along the way. That said, Palace’s lack of goals is a huge worry for me, and I can’t really see them finding the net at Goodison Park either, even against an Everton defence that has been leaking a few goals of late.

As such, I think that a single goal for the home side should be enough to win the game and with the team getting a big confidence injection from their 3-2 come from behind win over Watford last weekend, I feel that they should be really up to pick up a big three points here. It won’t be easy, and it may take a set piece goal to break the deadlock, but I reckon the home side will win the game by either a 1-0 or 2-0 scoreline.

Everton to win to nil - £10 returns £26.30
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February 8, 2020
Brighton
VS
Watford
AMEX
5:30 pm
Brighton Logo
Brighton
VS
Watford Logo
Watford
February 8, 2020
AMEX
5:30 pm
Key Stats
  • Brighton were comfortable 3-0 winners over Watford in the first game of the season.
  • The Seagulls though have just 2 wins in the last 10 with Watford (4 draws, 4 defeats).
  • Watford have picked up just one point from the last nine available in the EPL.
  • Watford lie in 19th place on 23 points, Brighton are 15th on 26 points both from 25 games.
Analysis:

It is hard to get a grip on how both of these teams are performing as in recent games we have seen the best, and the worst of them and they seem to both be struggling to find a level of consistency and, worryingly, both seem to have been shipping a fair few goals of late too.

Brighton did run out very handy winners 3-0 on the opening day of the season at Watford though and that will give them confidence here, but Watford need a result after struggling in their last three games and throwing away a 2-0 lead against Everton in their last home game, a result which will have left manager Nigel Pearson fuming.

The problem is that at the moment, Brighton don’t really look very capable of putting in a similar performance as they did on the opening day of the season and as such, I think that Watford stand a chance of getting a result here. I can’t see the Hornets quite doing enough to get a win against a Brighton side with a decent home record, but I think they should do enough to avoid a third consecutive league defeat and pick up a draw here, with a 1-1 scoreline or even a 2-2 draw the most likely outcome.

Draw & both teams to score - £10 returns £47.50
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Football Predictions: Sunday 9th February

February 9, 2020
Sheffield United
VS
Bournemouth
Bramall Lane
2:00 pm
Sheffield United Logo
Sheffield United
VS
Bournemouth Logo
Bournemouth
February 9, 2020
Bramall Lane
2:00 pm
Key Stats
  • The teams have met just 16 times. Bournemouth winning just once.
  • Sheffield United have won eight of the last nine between the two teams.
  • This fixture has been played in all four divisions of English football.
  • Bournemouth’s only victory was a 1-0 win at Bramall Lane in August 1987.
Analysis:

It is fair to say that Sheffield United’s season has exceeded all their most demanding expectations as they lie in 6th place in the table and have the second-best defensive record in the Premier League behind Liverpool. They take on a Bournemouth side who, on the back of two EPL wins in a row, have moved out of the drop zone.

That said, I am still not yet convinced that this represents a significant turnaround in form for Eddie Howe’s team. All too often this season, and last, they have produced a couple of good results only to then go on and lose the next couple of games and this trip north to Sheffield looks like being a very tough test.

Bournemouth have plenty of talented players but at the moment, they just don’t seem to be clicking quite together to get the results they feel they need and with the Blades being at home, I think that this is going to be a tough afternoon for both teams, but one which will see the home side take the spoils.

I am backing Sheffield United to win, but to do so by their customary 1-0 scoreline, which seems to be their modus operandi this season.

Sheff Utd to win to nil - £10 returns £26.30
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February 9, 2020
Man City
VS
West Ham
Etihad
4:30 pm
Man City Logo
Man City
VS
West Ham Logo
West Ham
February 9, 2020
Etihad
4:30 pm
Key Stats
  • City are on the back of 2 straight defeats, both without scoring a goal.
  • The Hammers have picked up just two points from the last 15 available.
  • City have won all of the last 9 between the teams. Scoring 32 goals in those games.
  • Six of the last eight games between the teams have seen 4 or more goals.
Analysis:

By all accounts, Manchester City should come into this game feeling miserable after two defeats in a row, which should give West Ham some comfort in a fixture that they have been, well to be frank, absolutely appalling in over recent times.

City thrashed the Hammers 5-0 away from home on the opening day of the season and in truth, it could have been more. The home side will also be stung from those two defeats to Man Utd and Tottenham and they will want to put in a big performance here to put that right.

I do feel a little for David Moyes team. They come into this game in the drop zone and at the start of a very difficult run of games and I think they are going to start that with probably a defeat and a heavy one at that.

I am backing Manchester City to win this and win this game very comfortably, so much so I am backing the Over 4.5 goals market for this game to try and get a little better value on the bet.

Over 4.5 Goals - £10 returns £25.00
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Author: David Lenton

David Lenton
David 'the Cheeky Punter' Lenton is an ex professional online sports bettor and trader with over 15 years of experience in the industry. He has also worked for a number of top bookmakers including Bet365, Ladbrokes, William Hill and Coral. With such a long time spent dedicated to the gambling industry no one is better placed when it comes to advising punters. Follow on Twitter @thecheekypunter