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Weekend Football Tips: 9th & 10th March
by David Lenton
I essentially covered my bets in midweek in the Champions League, thanks to the FC Porto v AS Roma game ending as it did.
And we turned a small profit in the Europa League (which is two profitable weeks on the bounce in that competition).
I’ve gone with three games from the seven being played on Saturday for my weekend football tips.
But have of course focused on the big game on Sunday with Arsenal facing Manchester United.
Here’s my tips for the weekend.
Premier League Tips: Saturday 9th March
March 9, 2019
March 9, 2019
Crystal Palace lie 13th in the Premier League table with 33 points. They have lost just one of their last eight games, winning three of their last four.
Brighton lie in 15th in the table with 30 points, but they have just one win in their last six games & have only picked up eight away points this season.
Palace will be without Sakho, Souare, Wickham and Speroni. Gross and Balogun could return for Brighton meaning the Seagulls would be at full strength for the game.
The teams met in December with Brighton grabbing a 3-1 win, with Shane Duffy’s red card in the 28th minute being no barrier to Brighton securing a fine win at home.
This is one of the oddest and yet most fierce rivalries in the Premier League and there will be no love lost between the teams or sets of fans when they clash at Selhurst Park on Saturday lunchtime. Palace certainly have a point to prove after Brighton, who played for 72+ minutes with ten men after the sending off of Shane Duffy, still managed to beat Palace 3-1 in their home game earlier this season.
Since then however things have improved markedly for Palace who have not just been much harder to beat but have been scoring more goals and making far fewer individual mistakes. In contrast, Brighton’s form has slumped, and having amassed just eight points on the road this season, this looks like being a tough trip.
Although not technically a derby game, this game will be played as such but to be honest, I think that will favour the home team more, as it did Brighton in the first match between the teams and add that to the other factors and I think Palace look a solid bet.
I can see Brighton scoring but I think Palace will emerge as comfortable winners on the day.
Crystal Palace to win & both teams to score - £10 returns £43.30
Newcastle lie in 14th place with 31 points from 29 games. They have won all of their last four Premier League games at home at St James’ Park.
Everton are 10th with 37 points, they ended a three-game losing streak winning away at Cardiff before a 0-0 draw with Liverpool last weekend.
Newcastle could be without Sean Longstaff after he was injured against West Ham. Richarlison and Andre Gomes could return to the first XI for Everton.
The teams drew 1-1 in the league when they met at Goodison Park in December, Rondon giving Newcastle the lead before Richarlison levelled for Everton before half time.
Both of these sides will come into this game with a bit of confidence behind them. Newcastle’s recent home for is superb and they have won all of their last four, but Everton stopped their three-game losing streak with a fine win at Cardiff and then followed that up with a 0-0 draw at home to Liverpool last weekend.
Before the transfer window, I’d have probably just shaded this in favour of Everton but I am afraid Marco Silva’s side blow too hot and cold for me and I think Newcastle, with the addition of Almiron, now pose a significantly more dangerous attacking threat than they did before they signed the Paraguayan star.
I don’t think it is any coincidence that since he signed up, Newcastle have been winning more games, especially at home and I feel they are going to be a little tricky for Everton to deal with, especially in front of the Gallowgate in full voice.
That said, while Newcastle would love to make it five wins from five, something tells me Everton will do just enough to scrape the draw, especially if Gomes is back in midfield and hence I am backing this one to end all-square.
With just one win in their last six, Southampton have hit a rocky patch of form at the wrong time. They lie 17th in the table with 27 points from their 29 games so far this season.
Tottenham’s poor run of form came to an end with the 1-1 draw with Arsenal last weekend followed by a fine 1-0 away win in Dortmund in the Champions League on Tuesday.
Harry Winks looks set to miss out for Spurs after a recurrence of his hip injury against Dortmund, however Dele Alli could return for Tottenham as he nears full fitness.
Tottenham ran out comfortable winners at Wembley in December, winning the game 3-1 wirh Kane, Lucas and Moura netting before Charlie Austin’s injury time consolation.
A few weeks ago, I may have been tempted to pick Southampton to land a surprise win here. Tottenham were struggling away from home and the Saints were looking much stronger since Ralph Hassenhuttl took over. However a short time on from that and it is Saints that are now struggling and Tottenham are now the team in decent form.
Add to that Tottenham could be set to see Dele Alli return from injury and that would be another boost for Mauricio Pochettino’s men ahead of what looks like being another crucial game as they seek to at least maintain third place in the Premier League at the moment.
While Alli’s return is welcome and imminent, injury to Harry Winks is a blow especially if Alli is not quite ready as that could leave Spurs a little thin in midfield. Something which Southampton will be hoping to capitalise on.
I do think the Saints are a danger at home and they have had some good results there this season but while I can see them scoring, I feel Tottenham look much more like themselves in Dortmund and as such, I am backing them to win this one by a 2-1 scoreline.
Tottenham to win & both teams to score - £10 returns £36
Arsenal lie in 5th place in the league, a point behind Man United in the table. The teams fought out a 2-2 draw in the Premier League at Old Trafford earlier in the season.
United’s massive recent improvement in form has seen them jump to fourth in the table and they have won every one of their away games so far under Ole Gunnar Solskjaer.
Both teams were in action in France in midweek, Arsenal playing Rennes on Thursday night while Man Utd stunned PSG to beat the French Champions 3-1 in Paris on Wednesday.
United have injuries to many key players which means several youngsters could make the bench. Paul Pogba however should return to the side after his Champions League ban.
I have to be honest and say that in my initial appraisal for this game, I felt that a scoring draw was the most likely outcome so I was going to back that and both teams to score, however having witnessed United’s performance in Paris and checked out their stellar away form, now I am not so sure.
Under Solskjaer, United seem set up best to counter attack and as a result, while at home they have been unconvincing at times, they have been superb on the road winning every game under their new Norwegian manager. That is a worrying stat for Arsenal fans, especially since one of those wins came at the Emirates against Arsenal in the FA Cup Fourth Round (a 3-1 win for United).
However, the Premier League is a different kettle of fish to a cup game and I think Arsenal won’t be quite so open this time around. That said, I think the attacking talent on display means both teams will score, but I just fancy this one to be close and then for United to pinch it late on.
With that in mind, I am going to go against my initial gut reaction for this game and back United to win and both teams to score, which is offering a very hefty return for just a £10 stake.
Man Utd to win & both teams to score - £10 returns £50.00
David 'the Cheeky Punter' Lenton is an ex professional online sports bettor and trader with over 15 years of experience in the industry. He has also worked for a number of top bookmakers including Bet365, Ladbrokes, William Hill and Coral. With such a long time spent dedicated to the gambling industry no one is better placed when it comes to advising punters. Follow on Twitter @thecheekypunter