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Weekend Football Tips: October 14th & 15th
by the Cheeky Punter
My international football betting tips were a mixed bag but the second set definitely made up for the first and I’m excited to get stuck into my weekend tips now the Premier League is back.
There’s action up and down the country and I’ve picked some of the more obscure games this time around (but I couldn’t resist the Liverpool v Man Utd game) as I think there’s some decent value available.
Check out my footie tips and predictions for Saturday October 14th and Sunday October 15th 2017:
Football Betting Tips: Saturday 14th October
October 14, 2017
October 14, 2017
Liverpool lie seventh in the Premier League table with 12 pints from 7 games, but they only won one game in a torrid spell of matches in September (away at Leicester).
Manchester United have won six out of seven Premier League games so far this season and lie second in the table on goal difference behind Manchester City.
Fellaini will be absent for Manchester United while Mane will miss out for Liverpool, both after picking up knocks on international duty.
The teams have met 226 times in total. United winning 87, Liverpool 75 and there have been 64 draws between the teams.
A key injury to Sadio Mane ruling him out for six weeks is a massive blow for Liverpool as they seek to claw back the seven points difference between the two clubs. Mane’s absence could mean a start in midfield for Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain, or it could also see James Milner come in if the German opts for more experience.
United will be missing Marouane Fellaini through injury but despite not having a great record against Jurgen Klopp in his career (played 7, won 1, lost 3, drawn 3), Jose Mourinho will be confident his team can get a positive result on the back of some outstanding form and displays in September.
Home advantage can be key in these often brutal games but United definitely hold the edge both in terms of recent form and in terns of quality and strength in depth and as such, I cannot see them getting beat at Anfield.
However, with home support roaring them on, despite Mane’s absence, I am backing Liverpool to pick up a point in a tight 1-1 draw between the teams.
After a bright start to the season, Huddersfield have not won any of their last six games, losing three and drawing three in that period.
Swansea have won two, drawn one and lost three of their last six, though they have lost their last two home Premier League games.
This match will be the first between the two teams in the top tier of English football, although they have played each other in all other divisions.
Swansea City have had just 11 shots on target this season. Three individual players, Lukaku, Kane and Salah have had more shots on target individually than Swansea’s entire team.
These are two teams that I feel are struggling to find their level in the Premier League at present. Swansea seem to be able to turn it on against the bigger teams, but struggle against the mid to lower level opponent, while Huddersfield started the season with two wins but have since struggled and are now without a win in six.
The Terriers boss Dave Wagner will know that this cannot continue if his team are to remain in the Premier League. However, without significant investment in the squad, I fear that the current run of form may well be more indicative of how the season is likely to go for the Yorkshire-based team.
Swansea need to address their worrying lack of goal threat and with Wilfred Bony nearing full fitness, his return to the team will hopefully give the Swans a boost in front of goal that they have sorely lacked since the departures of Sigurdsson and Llorente.
I can’t see there being too many goals here but I do fancy Swansea to perhaps just nick this by a single goal.
Watford are currently a lofty eighth in the Premier League table, having lost just once all season (at home to Manchester City) and taking 12 points from their 7 games.
Arsenal are a point ahead of Watford on 13 points but lie in 5th place in the table. The Gunners are now unbeaten in their last six games, winning five.
Watford will be without the injured Chalobah, Kaboul, Cathcart and Zarate. Richarlison, the young Brazilian, should start playing just behind Troy Deeney.
Arsenal will be without Mustafi after he picked up an injury on international duty. Mesut Ozil should be fit to return but may have to work his way back into the team.
Marco Silva is winning plenty of praise, including some from Arsene Wenger, for his side’s start to the season but Watford’s main issues this season have been at home where they have tended to drop the majority of their points, including taking a 6-0 hammering at the hands of Manchester City.
After a dismal start to the season, Arsenal won all but one of their games in September and that was a 0-0 draw away at Chelsea. The critics it seems have quietened for Arsene Wenger at the moment but he will know that his team face a tough test against a well-disciplined Watford side.
That said, Arsenal are playing some lovely football now, and with the front three of Iwobi, Sanchez and Lacazette, they are looking much more potent in attack and the work-rate of the team is much improved than when Ozil plays, hence why the German could be on the bench this weekend.
I expect Watford to put up a good fight here but I cannot see any other outcome other than a solid win for the Gunners.
Southampton have won just one of their last six games, away at Crystal Palace. They lie currently in 12th position in the table with 8 points from 7 games.
Newcastle have won three, lost two and drawn one of their last six games. They are currently 10th in the Premier League with 10 points from seven games.
Only Paul Dummett remains an injury concern for Newcastle with Christian Atsu expected to be fit after picking up a knock against Liverpool.
Shane Long scored in both games between these two sides when they met in the 2015/2016 season. But Saints have failed to score in eight of their last nine home games.
Southampton come into this game with a dismal home record in recent times with just one win at home in their last nine games and in eight of those they have failed to score. However they will be boosted by the fact that Newcastle boss Rafa Benitez has lost on each of the three visits his teams have made to St Marys, with Chelsea, Liverpool and also with Newcastle.
Of the two sides, it is Newcastle United that have been the more consistent this season and they have won three and drawn one of their last five games. That’s a solid return of points for a team that is one of the youngest in the Premier League.
Southampton though may look to Charlie Austin to solve their goalscoring woes at home. The striker has suffered with some long term injuries in recent times but is back fit now and he is a natural goal threat, something that perhaps others Southampton strikers are not.
This should be a close fought game and I can’t envisage too many goals between two teams for whom defence seems to be their primary focus. As such, I can’t see too much to split these sides and I think in this case, a draw is most likely the best option here.
The Cheeky Punter is an professional online sports bettor and trader with over 15 years of experience in the industry. He has worked for a number of top bookmakers including Ladbrokes, William Hill and Coral. He's also written for a number of leading news outlets including the Guardian, i (newspaper) and Soccer Lens. More about him here.