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Weekend Football Tips & Predictions: 11th & 12 July

Author: Published: July 10, 2020

Bundesliga TipsAfter a profitable weekend last time out I couldn’t follow it up in my midweek tips.

Disappointing but the fixtures are coming thick and fast so plenty of opportunity to do better and I’ll be looking to with this selection of tips from Premier League games taking place this weekend across Saturday and Sunday.

There are some massive games to enjoy, including a big London derby on Sunday afternoon with Spurs hosting Arsenal in what could well be the game that ends the dreams of European football for next season for the loser.

There are some other big games including Wolves v Everton and Norwich v West Ham, while Liverpool take on Burnley at Anfield and Manchester City travel to face Brighton on the south coast.

We have picked the best of the action this weekend for the tips below so lets hope they can turn up a winner or three! We’re due a change of luck with all these last minute goals going against us!

Weekend Football Tips: Saturday 11th July

Norwich City VS West Ham
11/07/2020 12:30 pm GMT

Key Stats

Bottom of the table Norwich are down if they fail to win this game.
West Ham also need points to avoid the drop after defeat to Burnley on Tuesday.
Norwich have scored the fewest (26) and conceded the most (63) in the EPL.
Norwich have won just one of the last 12 between the teams (6 Draws, 5 West Ham wins).

Analysis

The odds look stacked against Norwich in this game. Having lost eight of their last nine Premier League games, the Canaries are well adrift at the bottom of the table and while not mathematically down, a draw or defeat here would confirm that and even if they win, they still need other teams around them to drop lots of points as they win the remainder of their games.

One of those teams battling against the drop is West Ham and I think David Moyes team are starting to show a bit more now. They were unlucky to lose at home to Burnley in the week as they missed a host of good chances in the first half of that game and should have at least taken a point.

However, the Hammers have a very good record against Norwich over the last dozen or so meetings between the teams and that, allied to their generally improved form both at home and on the road, means that I feel they will be the team to beat here.

I can see Norwich giving it one last do or die roll of the dice in this one, but I still feel that the Hammers are far more likely to come out on top.

Prediction

West Ham to win - £10 returns £20.50
New customers only – Minimum deposit of £10 using deposit code 30F - A qualifying bet is a ‘real money’ stake of at least £10 placed on any sports market - Minimum odds of 1/2 (1.5) - Free bets credited upon qualifying bet settlement and expire after 7 days - Free bet stakes not included in returns - Deposit balance is available for withdrawal at any time. General deposit method & withdrawal restrictions apply & full T&C’s apply.
Watford VS Newcastle United
11/07/2020 3:00 pm GMT

Key Stats

Watford lie just outside the relegation zone with 31 points from 34 games so far.
Newcastle are safe from the drop in 13th having taken 43 points.
Only Man City have beaten Newcastle in their last nine games.
Watford have won six of the last 10 between the teams, Newcastle winning just two.

Analysis

Going back to 2015, Newcastle have a woeful record in this fixture, winning just one of the nine games played since then. Watford have amassed six wins in that period, two in the FA Cup and the rest in the Premier League and their predicament means that they will be very keen to land another victory here on Saturday.

However, Watford’s recent form has not been great. A win against Norwich apart, they went five games without a win, losing four of those games ahead of that win on Tuesday Night over the Canaries.

Danny Welbeck’s return to fitness should be a big help to Watford in the run in, but I have been impressed with Newcastle’s form of late, apart from in the games with Manchester City, and I feel that they will have plenty to say in this game.

I am taking Newcastle to keep things tight and come away from this trip south with a battling and hard-earned point.

Prediction

Draw - £10 returns £37.00
New customers only – Minimum deposit of £10 using deposit code 30F - A qualifying bet is a ‘real money’ stake of at least £10 placed on any sports market - Minimum odds of 1/2 (1.5) - Free bets credited upon qualifying bet settlement and expire after 7 days - Free bet stakes not included in returns - Deposit balance is available for withdrawal at any time. General deposit method & withdrawal restrictions apply & full T&C’s apply.

Bundesliga Tips: Sunday 12th July

Aston Villa VS Crystal Palace
12/07/2020 2:00 pm GMT

Key Stats

Villa lie 19th on 27 points and are 5 points from safety.
Palace lie 14th in the table but are in no danger of relegation.
One goal was enough to give Palace a win when the teams met in August 2019.
Palace have won four of the last seven between the teams, three of those at home.

Analysis

We are now reaching the stage of the season where games are becoming must-win games for teams at the bottom and few teams require a win quite as much as Aston Villa do at the moment. Despite a number of promising performances, notably at Anfield last weekend, Villa still keep losing games and are unable to turn their good play into goals.

They face a Palace side who are equally shot shy at times with just 30 goals scored this season in their 34 games, but Palace’s defence has conceded 43, which is far fewer than Villa’s and it is this which has seen Palace move into mid-table safety, while Villa remain in a tight relegation battle at the bottom of the table.

Despite their good play, Villa seem unable to create clear cut chances for their players and in truth, that has been their problem all season long. Palace don’t score many but they can stay in tight games and get something from them and I can see them doing precisely that here.

The last game between the teams finished in a 1-0 win to Crystal Palace, and in truth, I can see a similar scoreline and outcome taking place when the teams meet again on Sunday.

Prediction

Crystal Palace to win - £10 returns £34.00
New Customers only. Up to £100* in Bet Credits. Sign up, deposit £5* or more to your account and bet365 will match your qualifying deposit in Bet Credits when you place qualifying bets to the same value and they are settled. Min odds/bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Time limits, exclusions & T&Cs apply.
Tottenham VS Arsenal
12/07/2020 4:30 pm GMT

Key Stats

Spurs are 9th in the table one place behind Arsenal and one point worse off.
Arsenal have 50 points and are on the fringes of European qualification.
The teams drew 2-2 when they met back in September 2019.
The last ten games have seen 3 wins for Spurs, 2 for Arsenal and 5 drawn games.

Analysis

This is an absolutely crunch game for both North London rivals in terms of their aims of having European Football next season. Defeat for either could be a mortal blow towards those hopes and even a share of the spoils may not be enough with just three games left to play after this one and competition for those qualification spots so intense.

Of the two, Arsenal have been the most in form team since the restart and after losing their first two games, they are now unbeaten in their next five, winning four and drawing the other against Leicester on Tuesday night. The Gunners have had just eight losses this season, the second lowest behind Liverpool (tied with Wolves and Man Utd).

Tottenham, in contrast, have lost a few more games but also won more than Arsenal. They too need points to back up their chances of European Football next season, although both teams are likely only chasing a Europa League spot with a Champions League berth looking very unlikely.

Spurs erratic form under Jose Mourinho doesn’t really give me huge confidence here, but by the same token, Arsenal have not been beating many teams in the top half of the table either, drawing many of those matches and I can see this being another good example of that here as I am backing the draw.

Prediction

Draw - £10 returns £35.00
New Customers only. Up to £100* in Bet Credits. Sign up, deposit £5* or more to your account and bet365 will match your qualifying deposit in Bet Credits when you place qualifying bets to the same value and they are settled. Min odds/bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Time limits, exclusions & T&Cs apply.

*Tips are exactly that tips (predictions) and do not guarantee success.

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