Weekend Football Tips & Predictions: 28th & 29th August

Author: Published: August 27, 2021

Premier League TipsWell, we improved on a £17 loss in the first week of the season to record just a £3.50 loss at the weekend. Once again, the first game of my selection of tips proved to be the winner, but the others let me down, some by very close margins once again.

I am a little disappointed to miss out on a couple of great value correct score predictions by just the one goal, but I don’t think too many people would have expected United to be held by Southampton once the game went to a 1-1 scoreline. I know I felt that game was certainly poised to give me the win I’d hoped for, but that’s the vagaries of betting right there.

This weekend we have a couple of intriguing matches coming up including Manchester City taking on an Arsenal side in seeming disarray at the moment and then later on Saturday evening, Liverpool host Chelsea in the first clash between two of the top four teams in the Premier League last season.

Unsurprisingly, we’ve plumped for those games plus two more for this week’s set of tips.

Football Betting Tips: Saturday 27th August

Man City VS Arsenal
28/08/2021 12:30 pm GMT

Key Stats

City bounced back from defeat to Spurs to crush Norwich 5-0 last week.
Arsenal are 19th after two defeats, their worst ever start to an EPL season.
City have won ten of the last eleven between the two teams, losing just once.
Arsenal have not picked up a point at the Etihad since a 2-1 win in December 2015.

Analysis

What kind of game am I expecting at the Etihad at the weekend? A relatively easy one for Manchester City and a very uncomfortable Saturday lunchtime for Arsenal fans and manager Mikel Arteta who is already under pressure after the Gunners worst start to a Premier League season.

With rumours that Antonio Conte could take over sooner rather than later, the Gunners desperately need a win, however the last place you want to go to try and achieve that is Manchester City, who stuck five past Norwich on home soil last weekend and who are already looking in great shape to defend their title this year.

It isn’t just the results for Arsenal though. Performances have been below par in both their games and in truth, two 2-0 defeats to Brentford and Chelsea probably flatters them a bit and it could have been a couple more goals they conceded in both games.

As such, I think City will win this one comfortably and I can see goals being scored in this game this year as Arsenal’s defence does look shaky and City’s has been caught out at times, especially against Spurs. I wasn’t convinced Arsenal would score though, so I have opted for the Over 3.5 goals market for more flexibility.

Prediction

Over 3.5 Goals - £10 returns £24.50
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West Ham VS Crystal Palace
28/08/2021 3:00 pm GMT

Key Stats

The Hammers are top of the table with two wins, eight goals scored and six points.
Palace have one point, but have yet to score a goal in either of their two games.
The last six games between them have seen two wins apiece, plus two draws.
Both teams have scored in this game on the last eight occasions.

Analysis

West Ham finished last season superbly to end up in sixth place in the league table earning themselves a place in Europe as a result, and the Hammers have begun this season very well earning fine wins over Newcastle United and Leicester City in their opening two games.

Their eight goals is the most of any team in the Premier League so far this season and while critics may point to three goals conceded, and the fact they played most of the game with Leicester against ten men, there is no denying that David Moyes team are looking sharp.

In contrast, Palace were lethargic when losing to Chelsea in their opening game, and while better against Brentford (it took a world class save late on to deny Palace the win in that game), a lack of goals, which has been their main issue for many seasons now, still seems to be their Achilles heel.

I do feel Palace can take advantage of West Ham’s defence to break their Premier League goal drought here, but I still feel West Ham will be too strong for them and claim a third win and as such, I think a Hammers win and both teams to score is the way to go here.

Prediction

West Ham To Win & Both Teams To Score - £10 returns £35.00
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Liverpool VS Chelsea
28/08/2021 5:30 pm GMT

Key Stats

Both teams have the same record, 6 points, 5 goals scored, 0 conceded.
Chelsea have won just two of the last seven, Liverpool winning five.
Chelsea were 1-0 winners at Anfield last season, but lost 2-0 at home before that.
Pulisic and Loftus-Cheek will likely be absent due to positive Covid-19 tests.

Analysis

The great news for Liverpool fans is that the Reds should have a fully fit and healthy squad to pick from for this game. Andy Robertson made the bench last week against Burnley and with Fabinho and Alex Oxlade Chamberlain back with the squad, the Reds are in the strange position of having pretty much everyone available.

Chelsea are in good shape two with just two players likely out due to positive Covid-19 tests, but they should have everyone else in contention with N’Golo Kante likely to return in place of Mateo Kovacic in midfield and Romelu Lukaku maintaining his spot in the team after a goalscoring second debut against Arsenal.

At the start of the season, I would have gone with Chelsea here, but I think Liverpool do look back to their old selves after a strong end to last season and a good start to this. This will be the Anfield side’s first big test of the year, but I think they will come through it.

With home advantage, I am backing Liverpool to win a narrow one and as both teams usually find the net in games between these two teams, I am going to go for a correct score bet and the home side to eke out a 2-1 victory.

Prediction

Correct Score – Liverpool 2-1 Chelsea - £10 returns £110.00
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Premier League Tips: Sunday 28th August

Tottenham VS Watford
29/08/2021 2:00 pm GMT

Key Stats

Tottenham have started the season well winning both their games so far.
Watford have won one and lost one game to lie 11th in the table.
Harry Kane could be back in contention for Spurs after featuring as a sub last week.
The teams have met 50 times, Spurs winning 31, Watford 8 with 11 draws.

Analysis

The last two games between these teams two years ago both finished as draws, but don’t be fooled too much by that as since 1995, Watford have won just one of 18 games between the two teams, a 2-1 victory at Vicarage Road back in 2018.

That win is Watford’s sole victory over Spurs in the Premier League era and six of the last nine games between the two teams have seen both teams at least score a goal.

Spurs have been somewhat frugal in front of goal this season, with just two 1-0 wins to their name, but I feel this is the game where their attack can cut loose. Similarly, Watford have seen seven goals go in in their opening two games of the season, which does suggest goals will be scored at both ends here.

I do feel Spurs will win this game, I just couldn’t decide if Watford would score to get better value odds, so I have instead opted to hedge my bets a little and gone for the more flexible over 3.5 goals market here, which still offers us a very decent return on a £10 bet.

Prediction

Over 3.5 Goals - £10 returns £32.50
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*Tips are exactly that tips (predictions) and do not guarantee success.

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