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Weekend Football Tips & Predictions: 4th & 5th May
by David Lenton
We were just shy of making a profit last weekend and we missed out again, but only just, with our midweek bets as well.
Frustrating but we’ve still got some time to really end the season on a high.
It’s all still to play for in the Premier League and that’s where my weekend tips will be focussed.
I’ve got predictions for two games on Saturday and two on Sunday.
Football Tips: Saturday 4th May
May 4, 2019
May 4, 2019
After losing three on the bounce, West Ham drew at home with Leicester before beating Spurs away last time out. They are 11th in the League Table.
Southampton have drawn both their last two games, away at Watford and at home to Bournemouth. They are 16th in the table but safe from relegation.
The teams met at St Mary’s just after Christmas with West Ham winning that game 2-1, Felipe Anderson scoring twice to cancel our Nathan Redmond’s opener for Saints.
The hammers have the better historic record between the teams winning 76 of the 172 games between the teams. Saints have won 50 with 46 draws.
This is a tricky game to predict. West Ham have been playing some very good football of late and perhaps have not got the results they deserved in some of those games, notably away to Manchester United. But they do blow hot and cold and have done all season and you never quite know which West Ham will turn up on the day.
Southampton have been more consistent under Ralph Hassenhuttl and I think they’ll draw confidence from that going into the next season safe in the Premier League once again. They may not sweep teams away majestically, but Southampton have become tough to beat and have also been scoring more goals under the Austrian than under previous boss Mark Hughes.
In terms of talent, West Ham should win this one hands down, but I think there are issues for the Hammers to resolve. Arnautovic hasn’t been the same player since his move to China fell through and Javier Hernandez just doesn’t seem to be the potent goal threat that he was at Manchester United, Real Madrid and Bayer Leverkusen.
This is a game that the bookies feel West Ham should win but I think Southampton will make it a sticky, tough encounter here and I’m backing the pragmatic Saints to come away with a share of the spoils here.
Cardiff lie 18th in the table and must win both their last two games (this one and away to Man United) to stand a chance of overhauling Brighton above them.
Crystal Palace are in a comfortable 12th place in the league table with 43 points. Depending on results, they could move up the table to 10th place this weekend.
The teams met on Boxing Day in London and the game was a somewhat dour 0-0 draw. Palace had 31 shots at goal but failed to convert any in the game.
The teams have met 68 times, Palace winning 32, Cardiff 16 and 20 games have been draws. Cardiff’s last win over Palace was a 2-1 home win back in 2012.
Quite simply, time has run out for Cardiff City now and Neil Warnock’s men know that nothing less than a win here against a tricky Palace outfit and then another victory away at Old Trafford against Manchester United on the final day will be enough to get past Brighton, who could even still avoid relegation if they can pick up a win in their final two games.
I fear for Cardiff here though as Palace have proven to be the team that can turn up away from home and drag a result out from nowhere. They’ve beaten Arsenal and Manchester City on the road, drawn with Manchester United and almost earned a point at Anfield against Liverpool. So it is clear Roy Hodgson’s men are very dangerous away from home.
Cardiff’s home form of late hasn’t been great and their only win in their last five was away at Brighton. Without that, they’d already be down and playing Championship football next season but truth be told, I feel that after this game on Saturday, that will be confirmed anyway.
There’s so much pressure on Cardiff and it is such a tough situation for them that I can see Crystal Palace being the party poopers once again and I am backing Palace to win this game and send Cardiff down.
Chelsea lie fourth in the table on 68 points. Two wins would ensure they finish no worse than fourth, plus they could still win the Europa League.
Watford currently lie 10th in the Premier League, level on points with Everton in 9th and four behind Wolves in seventh, who beat them last week.
The teams met on Boxing Day last year and the result went in Chelsea’s favour, Eden Hazard netting twice to give Chelsea a hard fought 2-1 win.
The teams have not met too often in the past, of the 34 games played Chelsea have won 18 to Watford’s 10, with six draws. Chelsea have lost just one of the last 15 between the two.
Chelsea’s record against Watford in recent times is outstanding but they will be keenly aware of just how difficult a team Watford have become to earn a solid result against. With Chelsea still involved in the Europa League, they have two avenues open to the Champions League next season and that could be vital to saving what has been a tough first season for new boss Sarri.
In contrast Watford have their own big date on the horizon as after the completion of the league program next weekend, they will face Manchester City in the FA Cup Final at Wembley. City by then could be set to complete a clean sweep of all domestic trophies, so Watford will find the odds against them both then and in this game too.
Chelsea’s home form, by and large, has been good over the season and as such, I am backing them to win this game, but I do feel that they are not as strong defensively as they were and as such, Watford have enough quality going forward to at least score a goal, even if it is not quite enough for them to claim the win.
Chelsea to win & both teams to score - £10 returns £29.00
Huddersfield have won just three league games this season, two of those against Wolves. Their only other win has been at home against Fulham.
Manchester United have lost seven of their last ten games but arrested a run of defeats with a solid 1-1 draw at home to Chelsea at the weekend.
United won the reverse fixture 3-1 at Old Trafford back in December. However Huddersfield did beat United in this fixture last season 2-1.
The teams have met a total of 49 times, United winning 23 of those games to Huddersfield’s 11 with 15 draws. United have lost just once against Huddersfield since March 1952.
Last season this fixture produced one of the shock results of the season when Huddersfield beat United 2-1, but it would be an even greater shock if the Terriers were to produce something similar on Sunday against even an out of sorts Red Devils.
With a home game against Cardiff City to go after this one, Ole Gunnar Solskjaer will be looking to build his teams confidence after an extremely poor run of results over the last few weeks and nothing short of two wins would likely give United a chance of finishing inside the top four, their only likely way to qualify for next season’s Champions League.
Even then they are reliant on other results to help them out with three teams above them also vying for those two places and while I can’t see United slipping up here and I can see them ending their run of winless games, I still feel Huddersfield will get a sense of a moral victory if they can just score a goal.
In front of their home fans, with nothing to lose on the final home game of the season, I can see Huddersfield getting a goal but I am still expecting United to win the game comfortably. Then we will have to see whether it is going to be enough for a top four finish.
Man Utd to win & both teams to score - £10 returns £32.00
David 'the Cheeky Punter' Lenton is an ex professional online sports bettor and trader with over 15 years of experience in the industry. He has also worked for a number of top bookmakers including Bet365, Ladbrokes, William Hill and Coral. With such a long time spent dedicated to the gambling industry no one is better placed when it comes to advising punters. Follow on Twitter @thecheekypunter