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Weeknd Football Tips: 7th & 8th December
by David Lenton
Fresh from racking up a massive £124.50 win last weekend we hurt the bookies again in the week coming out with £20.50 profit from £10 stakes.
I am absolutely scorching hot at the moment on these tips, banking at least a small profit almost and in some cases, I have landed huge returns.
Let’s hope I can continue to give the bookies a tonking in the run up to Christmas!
This weekend’s set of games runs from Saturday through to Monday night and it is another crucial set of games at the top and bottom of the table in particular, with the highlight of the weekend being the Manchester derby as Manchester City welcome Manchester United to the Etihad.
Here are my tips for this weekend’s games and remember to check back for my midweek tips in the final round of Champions and Europa League matches next week.
Football Tips: Saturday 7th December
December 7, 2019
December 7, 2019
After their 5-2 loss at Liverpool, Everton are in the drop zone on 14 points.
Chelsea remain fourth after their 2-1 midweek win against Aston Villa.
Everton are unbeaten in their last three against Chelsea, not conceding a goal in that time.
Since Oct 2011 though, Chelsea have won 11, Everton 5 with 3 draws from 19 games.
I must admit that I was a little loathe to include this game in this week’s selection as a change of manager can do strange things to a team. Long term perhaps with David Moyes will come back in. If that is the case, Everton could get the common ‘bounce’ you get when a new manager takes the helm but my feeling is that won't happen under an interim boss.
Regardless, I feel Chelsea are in a good place to win this. Their 2-1 win over Aston Villa in midweek ended a run of just one win in five in all competitions and ensured Chelsea remained clear in fourth in the table.
Everton have not conceded a goal to Chelsea in their last three (a 2-0 win and two 0-0 draws) but beyond that Chelsea have much the better record of the two teams as you would expect and given the defensive frailties on display at Anfield in midweek, it is hard to see Chelsea’s young attack not exploiting this at least a couple of times.
I can see Everton scoring a goal at home against a leaky Chelsea back line, but I think the visitors will be the ones celebrating at the end of the game, most likely with a 2-1 victory.
Chelsea to win & both teams to score - £10 returns £36.00
A 1-0 defeat at Leicester saw Watford remain firmly at the bottom of the table.
After two wins in a row, Palace have moved back up to 7th in the EPL table.
Watford have won the last three between the teams all by a 2-1 scoreline.
Going back to 2009, Palace have won 10, Watford 5 with 4 games drawn.
Four of the last five games between these teams, as well as six of the last nine, have all finished by a 2-1 scoreline on one way or the other, so it seems likely that this scoreline will be one to consider if historical records between these two teams are anything to go by.
Watford have won the last three between the teams including an FA Cup quarterfinal victory last year, as well as two wins in the league. However, Palace come into this game with much the better form of the two teams and on the back of a battling win, achieved with 10 men for most of the game, at home to Bournemouth in midweek.
In contrast, the Hornets battled hard against Leicester but still went down to a defeat in the week and while Watford don’t lack battling qualities, they are sorely lacking goals, defensively they are wide open at times and their confidence looks absolutely shot.
I can see the home side scoring here, but I feel Palace will do likewise, but I just feel Watford’s resilience and home advantage, will mean that they get at least a point from this game.
City were convincing winners at Burnley in midweek, winning 4-1 to remain 3rd in the table.
United earned a solid 2-1 win over Spurs on Wednesday to move up to 6th in the table.
City won both encounters between the teams last season 3-1 at home and 2-0 away.
The last 10 between the teams are evenly split, 4 wins apiece with 2 draws.
After a somewhat patchy run of form by their own high standards, Manchester City produced a fine display away to Burnley, earning a deserved 4-1 victory to set them up nicely for Saturday evening’s Manchester derby at the Etihad.
Their neighbours also had a positive result in midweek, with a Marcus Rashford double earning United a 2-1 win over their former manager, Jose Mourinho’s new team, Tottenham. That win moved United back up to 6th in the Premier League, tucked in behind Wolves.
Despite this, I still feel this is City’s game to win and I would expect them to dominate the match, especially against a United side that lacks experience in these bigger games. The added bonus is that City are at home, although it is worth noting United did beat City at the Etihad 3-2, coming back from 2-0 down, a couple of years ago.
That said, there’s no way I can see United winning here and while I can see them finding the net, I think City will get three or maybe even four goals to secure a very important win in this one.
Man City to win & both teams to score - £10 returns £27.50
Weekend Betting Tips: Sunday 8th December
December 8, 2019
December 8, 2019
Villa went down to defeat at Chelsea in midweek, a result which left them in 15th in the table.
Leicester secured a narrow win over Watford to remain second, 8 points behind Liverpool.
Leicester last win at Villa Park was a 1-0 win in the League Cup in 2007.
Villa have won 6 of the last 10 between the teams, Leicester have 3 wins with one draw.
Historically, this is one of the less common Midlands derby games, and over the years it is Leicester who have enjoyed the most success, but in recent times, Villa have turned the tables a little, although most of their wins in recent times came between 2003 and 2006.
More recently, Leicester have had the upper hand in general but games between the teams are always tight with no victory of more than one goal since 2004. Draws are scarce in this fixture with just one in the last ten games, and that was the last Premier League game on this ground back in January 2016, which finished 1-1.
Villa have proven hard to beat at home, but Leicester City are flying at the minute and it is hard to see how Villa can stop Brendan Rogers team. The Foxes look confident of winning every game and I can see them doing likewise here.
I do think Villa will be able to breach the Leicester defence, the best in the Premier League, to get a goal, but I still feel Leicester will run out winners, either 2-1 or 3-1.
Leicester to win & both teams to score - £10 returns £31.50
David 'the Cheeky Punter' Lenton is an ex professional online sports bettor and trader with over 15 years of experience in the industry. He has also worked for a number of top bookmakers including Bet365, Ladbrokes, William Hill and Coral. With such a long time spent dedicated to the gambling industry no one is better placed when it comes to advising punters. Follow on Twitter @thecheekypunter