Who will win the Manchester City v Arsenal Premier League game?

Author: Published: March 25, 2024
Erling Haaland Manchester City vs Arsenal

One of the matches of the season takes place on Sunday March 31. Third placed Manchester City host the league leaders Arsenal at the Etihad. It’s a massive test for both clubs but who should you be betting on?

This is the final game on matchday 29 of the 2023/24 Premier League season. It’s tighter at the top than it’s ever been. Going into this weekend, Arsenal lead the table from Liverpool but only  on goal difference. Manchester City are in third but the defending champions are just a point behind the top two.

Despite being in third place, City are still 6/5 favourites at bet365 to win a fourth successive Premier League title. BetVictor have Liverpool at 2/1 to give Jurgen Klopp the perfect leaving present. Even though they are top of the league, William Hill gives odds of 11/4 on the Gunners becoming Premier League champions.

Earlier on Sunday, Liverpool host Brighton and Hove Albion. Just a point will see them return to the top of the table. That’s a result both City and Arsenal wouldn’t mind seeing. More likely is another Liverpool home win and that’s 4/9 at bet365.

Arsenal Need a Big Away Win

Arsenal have been scoring goals for fun this year. Each of their last eight Premier League games has been won with 33 goals scored. The last three on the road have been won by an astonishing 17-0 aggregate. However, winning at the Etihad is a bit more difficult than getting conclusive victories at West Ham, Burnley and Sheffield United.

It is so important for Arsenal to finally get a big win away at one of the top clubs. They last won a Premier League game at Manchester City in 2015. Against Liverpool, it’s even worse with no win in the past 12 years. Going to the Etihad and returning home with three points would be a massive statement. It’s 31/10 at BetVictor that they win this match.

They can beat City though and have done so twice this season. Arsenal beat them on penalties in the Community Shield and then 1-0 at home in the Premier League last October. 

Both games had under 2.5 goals scored in them and the odds of that happening on Sunday are 21/20 at BetVictor. With all the goals being scored of late, William Hill have odds of 7/10 on over 2.5 goals being scored.

Getting those two wins this season has been a turnaround in form. Before those results, Arsenal had lost eight games in a row to City in all competitions. Results against them at the Etihad in the Premier League have been a major disappointment. The last seven have all been lost with 21 goals conceded and just four goals scored.

City can’t afford to lose

Pep Guardiola’s side are chasing a fourth straight Premier League title. However, a loss to Arsenal this Sunday and a win for Liverpool over Brighton will leave them four points behind the top two.

Alongside Liverpool, City are the only side in the Premier League unbeaten at home. Ten out of 14 games have been won and they are unbeaten in their last 25 home league matches. It’s 17/20 at bet365 that they can beat Arsenal on Sunday.

City are one of those kinds of unbeaten runs that often end in trophies being won. They are unbeaten in 22 games since losing at Aston Villa in December. 

They have Erling Haaland back from injury and he’s already scoring goals for them. Another bonus is the scoring form of Phil Foden and the return of Kevin De Bruyne. 18 of their last 20 games have been won with only Chelsea and Liverpool stopping them winning. 

They have drawn four home league games though and William Hill have odds of 3/1 on that being the result on Sunday.

This should be a fascinating game. Liverpool would love to see it end in a draw and that does look possible. A draw with both teams scoring is 7/2 at bet365.

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